← Forest Of Dean (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Forest Of Dean 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

8 ward races
8 seats
4 elected below the proportional quota
50.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 8 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 8 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party10,50641.7%450.0%450.0%0
Green Party5,19220.6%225.0%225.0%0
Labour Party4,34117.2%112.5%112.5%0
Independent2,89411.5%00.0%112.5%-1
Liberal Democrats2,0848.3%112.5%00.0%+1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)910.4%00.0%00.0%0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition850.3%00.0%00.0%0
Total25,193100.0%8100.0%8100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Drybrook & Lydford · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,102

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hale T.Conservative and Unionist Party1,03933.5%Elected
2Forester T.Independent80425.9%
3Martin D.Labour Party77525.0%
4Phelps S.Green Party41113.2%
5Cooley A.R.Liberal Democrats732.4%

Electorate 8,300 · Ballots cast 3,102 · EC ward code E58000492 · Back to ward index

Blakeney & Bream · single-seat

Marginal winner 34.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,957

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hoyland B.Green Party1,34534.0%Elected
2Boyles R.H.Conservative and Unionist Party1,32833.6%
3Leppington R.N.Independent66216.7%
4Gueye K.J.Labour Party62215.7%

Electorate 9,432 · Ballots cast 3,957 · EC ward code E58000480 · Back to ward index

Coleford · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,628

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Allaway-Martin C.A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,14943.7%Elected
2Bishop M.Labour Party68826.2%
3Whitburn I.R.Independent63324.1%
4Taylor P.A.J.Liberal Democrats1586.0%

Electorate 8,485 · Ballots cast 2,628 · EC ward code E58000490 · Back to ward index

Mitcheldean · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,458

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Robinson P.J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,66948.3%Elected
2Robinson B.R.Independent79523.0%
3Stammers S.Labour Party56516.3%
4Dale J.Green Party42912.4%

Electorate 8,571 · Ballots cast 3,458 · EC ward code E58000506 · Back to ward index

Cinderford · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 2,212

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Morgan G.L.Labour Party1,12550.9%Elected
2Thomas C.L.G.Conservative and Unionist Party73633.3%
3Bruce A.Green Party26411.9%
4Brown P.H.Liberal Democrats652.9%
5Quick I.C.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition221.0%

Electorate 8,274 · Ballots cast 2,212 · EC ward code E58000487 · Back to ward index

Newent · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.1 pts Valid ballots 3,230

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Moseley G.Liberal Democrats1,65151.1%Elected
2Windsor-Clive W.Conservative and Unionist Party1,57948.9%

Electorate 8,606 · Ballots cast 3,230 · EC ward code E58000508 · Back to ward index

Lydney · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.3 pts Valid ballots 2,788

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Preest A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,51454.3%Elected
2Farrant M.Labour Party56620.3%
3Wright A.Green Party41715.0%
4Tull T.Liberal Democrats1374.9%
5Grant A.P.UK Independence Party (UKIP)913.3%
6Mickleson C.R.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition632.3%

Electorate 8,278 · Ballots cast 2,788 · EC ward code E58000504 · Back to ward index

Sedbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.9 pts Valid ballots 3,818

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McFarling C.Green Party2,32660.9%Elected
2Molyneux P.C.J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,49239.1%

Electorate 8,235 · Ballots cast 3,818 · EC ward code E58000512 · Back to ward index