← Epping Forest (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Epping Forest 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

18 ward races

54 seats

41 elected below the proportional quota

75.9% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 54 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	29,990	42.1%	29	53.7%	24	44.4%	+5
RES	12,955	18.2%	13	24.1%	10	18.5%	+3
Liberal Democrats	10,307	14.5%	7	13.0%	8	14.8%	-1
Labour Party	7,964	11.2%	1	1.9%	6	11.1%	-5
Independent	6,242	8.8%	3	5.6%	5	9.3%	-2
Green Party	2,366	3.3%	1	1.9%	1	1.9%	0
Reform UK	324	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
British Democratic Party	323	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	235	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
English Democrats	227	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	222	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	71,155	100.0%	54	100.0%	54	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Buckhurst Hill East and Whitebridge · 3 seats · won at 13.1% · +11.9 pts below quota
Theydon Bois with Passingford · 3 seats · won at 13.9% · +11.1 pts below quota
Epping West and Rural · 3 seats · won at 15.1% · +9.9 pts below quota
Buckhurst Hill West · 3 seats · won at 15.5% · +9.5 pts below quota
Grange Hill · 3 seats · won at 15.5% · +9.5 pts below quota
Epping East · 3 seats · won at 16.1% · +8.9 pts below quota
North Weald Bassett · 3 seats · won at 16.5% · +8.5 pts below quota
Rural East · 3 seats · won at 16.6% · +8.4 pts below quota
Waltham Abbey North · 3 seats · won at 19.1% · +5.9 pts below quota
Loughton Fairmead · 3 seats · won at 21.2% · +3.8 pts below quota
Ongar · 3 seats · won at 21.9% · +3.1 pts below quota
Roydon and Lower Nazeing · 3 seats · won at 22.7% · +2.3 pts below quota
Loughton Forest · 3 seats · won at 22.9% · +2.1 pts below quota
Loughton Roding · 3 seats · won at 23.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Chigwell with Lambourne · 3 seats · won at 23.5% · +1.5 pts below quota
Waltham Abbey South and Rural · 3 seats · won at 24.7% · +0.3 pts below quota
Waltham Abbey West · 3 seats · won at 24.8% · +0.2 pts below quota
Loughton St John's · 3 seats · won at 25.5% · above quota

Race results

Buckhurst Hill East and Whitebridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,867

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brookes, R.	RES	792	16.3%	Elected
2	Cohen, B.	RES	646	13.3%	Elected
3	Gabbett, E.	Green Party	639	13.1%	Elected
4	Kent, C.	RES	617	12.7%
5	Aradeon, D.	Green Party	596	12.2%
6	Bagshaw, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	375	7.7%
7	Laviolette, A.	Labour Party	369	7.6%
8	Sparrow, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	327	6.7%
9	Vance, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	320	6.6%
10	Brown, B.	Independent	186	3.8%

Electorate 5,796 · Ballots cast 4,867 · EC ward code E05015724 · Back to ward index

Theydon Bois with Passingford · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,032

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Amos, C.	Liberal Democrats	949	18.9%	Elected
2	Cornish, T.	Liberal Democrats	882	17.5%	Elected
3	Jones, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	698	13.9%	Elected
4	Griffiths, R.	Liberal Democrats	695	13.8%
5	Brady, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	647	12.9%
6	Philip, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	581	11.5%
7	Burgess, C.	Independent	212	4.2%
8	Turchin, L.	Independent	211	4.2%
9	Mortimer, C.	Labour Party	157	3.1%

Electorate 5,175 · Ballots cast 5,032 · EC ward code E05015738 · Back to ward index

Epping West and Rural · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,496

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	George, M.	Liberal Democrats	945	17.2%	Elected
2	Sharif, R.	Liberal Democrats	926	16.8%	Elected
3	Whitbread, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	832	15.1%	Elected
4	Thatcher, E.	Liberal Democrats	815	14.8%
5	Green, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	751	13.7%
6	Murray, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	699	12.7%
7	Avey, N.	Independent	332	6.0%
8	Voitov, S.	Labour Party	196	3.6%

Electorate 5,130 · Ballots cast 5,496 · EC ward code E05015728 · Back to ward index

Buckhurst Hill West · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,545

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Church, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	819	18.0%	Elected
2	Williamson, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	800	17.6%	Elected
3	Patel, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	706	15.5%	Elected
4	Fricker, R.	Green Party	581	12.8%
5	Radley, K.	Green Party	550	12.1%
6	Kasperkowicz, T.	Labour Party	419	9.2%
7	Mihailova, L.	Independent	340	7.5%
8	Matharu, I.	Liberal Democrats	330	7.3%

Electorate 5,198 · Ballots cast 4,545 · EC ward code E05015725 · Back to ward index

Grange Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,515

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lion, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	791	17.5%	Elected
2	Morgan, L.	Independent	775	17.2%	Elected
3	Chahal Holden, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	702	15.5%	Elected
4	Ali, O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	631	14.0%
5	Rye, D.	Independent	592	13.1%
6	Ayre, A.	Labour Party	456	10.1%
7	Aradeon, A.	Independent	365	8.1%
8	Hume, S.	Liberal Democrats	203	4.5%

Electorate 6,142 · Ballots cast 4,515 · EC ward code E05015729 · Back to ward index

Epping East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,276

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitehouse, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,100	20.8%	Elected
2	Whitehouse, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,020	19.3%	Elected
3	Barnard, E.	Liberal Democrats	850	16.1%	Elected
4	McCredie, C.	Independent	599	11.4%
5	Whitbread, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	501	9.5%
6	Abbott, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	477	9.0%
7	Roberts, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	467	8.9%
8	Thomas, P.	Labour Party	262	5.0%

Electorate 5,521 · Ballots cast 5,276 · EC ward code E05015727 · Back to ward index

North Weald Bassett · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,279

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bromwich, T.	Independent	889	27.1%	Elected
2	Bedford, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	604	18.4%	Elected
3	Burrows, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	540	16.5%	Elected
4	Mills, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	472	14.4%
5	Hind, K.	Labour Party	392	12.0%
6	Stockton, P.	Labour Party	382	11.6%

Electorate 4,981 · Ballots cast 3,279 · EC ward code E05015734 · Back to ward index

Rural East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,446

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Balcombe, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	817	18.4%	Elected
2	Morgan, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	774	17.4%	Elected
3	Hadley, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	737	16.6%	Elected
4	Paine, L.	Liberal Democrats	697	15.7%
5	Pattani, B.	Liberal Democrats	465	10.5%
6	Huish, A.	Labour Party	405	9.1%
7	Bell, P.	Reform UK	324	7.3%
8	Tilbrook, R.	English Democrats	227	5.1%

Electorate 6,249 · Ballots cast 4,446 · EC ward code E05015737 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,342

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morris, M.	Labour Party	520	22.2%	Elected
2	Lea, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	483	20.6%	Elected
3	Stocker, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	447	19.1%	Elected
4	Scott, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	417	17.8%
5	Leppert, J.	British Democratic Party	323	13.8%
6	Walsh, A.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	152	6.5%

Electorate 5,371 · Ballots cast 2,342 · EC ward code E05015739 · Back to ward index

Loughton Fairmead · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,247

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mead, L.	RES	966	29.8%	Elected
2	Kauffman, W.	RES	761	23.4%	Elected
3	Ardakani, A.	RES	688	21.2%	Elected
4	Rawlings, G.	Labour Party	332	10.2%
5	Smith, A.	Labour Party	287	8.8%
6	Nagpal, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	213	6.6%

Electorate 5,472 · Ballots cast 3,247 · EC ward code E05015730 · Back to ward index

Ongar · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +3.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,783

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dadd, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	911	24.1%	Elected
2	McIvor, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	828	21.9%	Elected
3	Keska, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	827	21.9%	Elected
4	Wingfield, A.	Labour Party	337	8.9%
5	Huish, R.	Labour Party	332	8.8%
6	White, T.	Labour Party	296	7.8%
7	Richardson, M.	Liberal Democrats	252	6.7%

Electorate 5,742 · Ballots cast 3,783 · EC ward code E05015735 · Back to ward index

Roydon and Lower Nazeing · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,981

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bassett, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	883	29.6%	Elected
2	Whitbread, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	715	24.0%	Elected
3	Pugsley, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	678	22.7%	Elected
4	Kyriacou, A.	Labour Party	470	15.8%
5	Harvey, M.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	235	7.9%

Electorate 5,460 · Ballots cast 2,981 · EC ward code E05015736 · Back to ward index

Loughton Forest · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,088

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Baldwin, R.	RES	1,220	24.0%	Elected
2	Owen, M.	RES	1,171	23.0%	Elected
3	Allgood, I.	RES	1,167	22.9%	Elected
4	Metcalfe, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	361	7.1%
5	Hawes, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	354	7.0%
6	Ridding, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	288	5.7%
7	Draper, T.	Labour Party	279	5.5%
8	Davies, N.	Liberal Democrats	178	3.5%
9	Jones, S.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	70	1.4%

Electorate 5,295 · Ballots cast 5,088 · EC ward code E05015731 · Back to ward index

Loughton Roding · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,334

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Murray, S.	Independent	1,098	32.9%	Elected
2	Rackham, S.	RES	826	24.8%	Elected
3	Nweke, C.	RES	767	23.0%	Elected
4	Wild, D.	Labour Party	327	9.8%
5	Fontenelle, M.	Independent	186	5.6%
6	Parry, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	130	3.9%

Electorate 5,446 · Ballots cast 3,334 · EC ward code E05015732 · Back to ward index

Chigwell with Lambourne · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,023

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McCann, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,164	28.9%	Elected
2	Rizvi, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,018	25.3%	Elected
3	Sunger, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	947	23.5%	Elected
4	Malik, S.	Independent	457	11.4%
5	Casaluci, T.	Labour Party	437	10.9%

Electorate 5,645 · Ballots cast 4,023 · EC ward code E05015726 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey South and Rural · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +0.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,516

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Heather, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	715	28.4%	Elected
2	Markham, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	676	26.9%	Elected
3	Matthews, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	622	24.7%	Elected
4	Harris, S.	Labour Party	503	20.0%

Electorate 5,347 · Ballots cast 2,516 · EC ward code E05015740 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey West · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,411

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parsons, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	663	27.5%	Elected
2	Lucas, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	618	25.6%	Elected
3	Yerrell, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	598	24.8%	Elected
4	Greyson, B.	Labour Party	532	22.1%

Electorate 5,550 · Ballots cast 2,411 · EC ward code E05015741 · Back to ward index

Loughton St John's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 3,974

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pond, C.	RES	1,216	30.6%	Elected
2	Kauffman, H.	RES	1,106	27.8%	Elected
3	Wiskin, G.	RES	1,012	25.5%	Elected
4	Metcalfe, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	366	9.2%
5	Roberts, E.	Labour Party	274	6.9%

Electorate 5,363 · Ballots cast 3,974 · EC ward code E05015733 · Back to ward index