← Epping Forest (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Epping Forest 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

20 ward races

20 seats

2 elected below the proportional quota

10.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	9,183	40.3%	10	50.0%	9	45.0%	+1
Liberal Democrats	4,172	18.3%	2	10.0%	4	20.0%	-2
RES	3,946	17.3%	6	30.0%	3	15.0%	+3
Labour Party	2,997	13.2%	0	0.0%	3	15.0%	-3
Independent	1,348	5.9%	1	5.0%	1	5.0%	0
Green Party	763	3.4%	1	5.0%	0	0.0%	+1
SG	150	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	88	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
EDEM	72	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
FBM	27	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	26	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	22,772	100.0%	20	100.0%	20	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Epping Lindsey & Thornwood Common · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
Chigwell Village · 1 seat · won at 49.4% · +0.6 pts below quota
Theydon Bois · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Buckhurst Hill West · 1 seat · won at 58.5% · above quota
Chipping Ongar Greensted & Marden Ash · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
Waltham Abbey Paternoster · 1 seat · won at 59.9% · above quota
Grange Hill · 1 seat · won at 61.4% · above quota
Loughton Broadway · 1 seat · won at 61.9% · above quota
Buckhurst Hill East · 1 seat · won at 62.3% · above quota
Loughton Forest · 1 seat · won at 62.3% · above quota
Epping Hemnall · 1 seat · won at 62.8% · above quota
North Weald Bassett · 1 seat · won at 63.4% · above quota
Loughton Alderton · 1 seat · won at 63.9% · above quota
Waltham Abbey North East · 1 seat · won at 64.3% · above quota
Loughton St. Johns · 1 seat · won at 67.2% · above quota
Loughton St. Marys · 1 seat · won at 68.5% · above quota
Loughton Fairmead · 1 seat · won at 68.6% · above quota
Lower Nazeing · 1 seat · won at 69.1% · above quota
Loughton Roding · 1 seat · won at 83.2% · above quota

Race results

Epping Lindsey & Thornwood Common · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,969

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burrows L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	929	47.2%	Elected
2	Griffiths R.	Liberal Democrats	850	43.2%
3	Bullough S.	Labour Party	190	9.6%

Electorate 5,265 · Ballots cast 1,969 · EC ward code E05004154 · Back to ward index

Chigwell Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,116

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sunger D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	551	49.4%	Elected
2	Patel P.	Independent	365	32.7%
3	Hume S.	Liberal Democrats	114	10.2%
4	Garnham A.	Green Party	86	7.7%

Electorate 3,426 · Ballots cast 1,116 · EC ward code E05004151 · Back to ward index

Theydon Bois · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 1,282

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Amos C.	Liberal Democrats	648	50.5%	Elected
2	Jones S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	634	49.5%

Electorate 3,229 · Ballots cast 1,282 · EC ward code E05004173 · Back to ward index

Buckhurst Hill West · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.5 pts Valid ballots 1,720

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Patel S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,006	58.5%	Elected
2	Matharu I.	Liberal Democrats	564	32.8%
3	Hall T.	SG	150	8.7%

Electorate 5,288 · Ballots cast 1,720 · EC ward code E05004149 · Back to ward index

Chipping Ongar Greensted & Marden Ash · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.9 pts Valid ballots 954

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vaz B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	562	58.9%	Elected
2	White T.	Labour Party	150	15.7%
3	Davies N.	Liberal Democrats	144	15.1%
4	Tilbrook R.	EDEM	72	7.5%
5	Bell P.	Reform UK	26	2.7%

Electorate 3,367 · Ballots cast 954 · EC ward code E05004152 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.9 pts Valid ballots 1,045

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stocker D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	616	58.9%	Elected
2	Moss D.	Labour Party	365	34.9%
3	Pattison I.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	64	6.1%

Electorate 4,465 · Ballots cast 1,045 · EC ward code E05004175 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey Paternoster · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.9 pts Valid ballots 673

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Yerrell S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	403	59.9%	Elected
2	Greyson R.	Labour Party	246	36.6%
3	Gardner B.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	24	3.6%

Electorate 3,423 · Ballots cast 673 · EC ward code E05004177 · Back to ward index

Grange Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.4 pts Valid ballots 1,305

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lion A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	801	61.4%	Elected
2	Tankard S.	Labour Party	504	38.6%

Electorate 5,190 · Ballots cast 1,305 · EC ward code E05004155 · Back to ward index

Loughton Broadway · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.9 pts Valid ballots 788

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pond C.	RES	488	61.9%	Elected
2	Gollo O.	Labour Party	178	22.6%
3	Weinberg A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	106	13.5%
4	Richardson P.	FBM	16	2.0%

Electorate 3,424 · Ballots cast 788 · EC ward code E05004160 · Back to ward index

Buckhurst Hill East · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.3 pts Valid ballots 1,087

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gabbett E.	Green Party	677	62.3%	Elected
2	Saunders D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	291	26.8%
3	Laviolette A.	Labour Party	119	10.9%

Electorate 3,481 · Ballots cast 1,087 · EC ward code E05004148 · Back to ward index

Loughton Forest · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.3 pts Valid ballots 1,200

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Baldwin R.	RES	748	62.3%	Elected
2	Probyn J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	335	27.9%
3	Turner K.	Labour Party	117	9.8%

Electorate 3,332 · Ballots cast 1,200 · EC ward code E05004162 · Back to ward index

Epping Hemnall · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.8 pts Valid ballots 1,830

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitehouse J.	Liberal Democrats	1,149	62.8%	Elected
2	Murray P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	520	28.4%
3	Collier I.	Labour Party	161	8.8%

Electorate 4,888 · Ballots cast 1,830 · EC ward code E05004153 · Back to ward index

North Weald Bassett · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.4 pts Valid ballots 1,002

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bolton P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	635	63.4%	Elected
2	Wingfield A.	Labour Party	194	19.4%
3	Barnard E.	Liberal Democrats	173	17.3%

Electorate 3,643 · Ballots cast 1,002 · EC ward code E05004169 · Back to ward index

Loughton Alderton · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.9 pts Valid ballots 817

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Allgood I.	RES	522	63.9%	Elected
2	Ayre A.	Labour Party	164	20.1%
3	Ridding J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	120	14.7%
4	Butler E.	FBM	11	1.3%

Electorate 3,333 · Ballots cast 817 · EC ward code E05004159 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey North East · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.3 pts Valid ballots 826

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lucas H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	531	64.3%	Elected
2	Vaughan T.	Liberal Democrats	295	35.7%

Electorate 3,140 · Ballots cast 826 · EC ward code E05004176 · Back to ward index

Loughton St. Johns · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.2 pts Valid ballots 1,168

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jennings B.	RES	785	67.2%	Elected
2	Church B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	223	19.1%
3	Bostock J.	Labour Party	160	13.7%

Electorate 3,411 · Ballots cast 1,168 · EC ward code E05004164 · Back to ward index

Loughton St. Marys · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.5 pts Valid ballots 1,199

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kauffman H.	RES	821	68.5%	Elected
2	Hawes K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	223	18.6%
3	Rawlings G.	Labour Party	155	12.9%

Electorate 3,845 · Ballots cast 1,199 · EC ward code E05004165 · Back to ward index

Loughton Fairmead · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.6 pts Valid ballots 849

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mead L.	RES	582	68.6%	Elected
2	Thomas P.	Labour Party	178	21.0%
3	Patel U.	Conservative and Unionist Party	89	10.5%

Electorate 3,164 · Ballots cast 849 · EC ward code E05004161 · Back to ward index

Lower Nazeing · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.1 pts Valid ballots 760

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pugsley R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	525	69.1%	Elected
2	Thatcher E.	Liberal Democrats	235	30.9%

Electorate 3,348 · Ballots cast 760 · EC ward code E05004166 · Back to ward index

Loughton Roding · single-seat

Marginal winner 83.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −33.2 pts Valid ballots 1,182

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Murray S.	Independent	983	83.2%	Elected
2	Wild D.	Labour Party	116	9.8%
3	Bhanot V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	83	7.0%

Electorate 3,567 · Ballots cast 1,182 · EC ward code E05004163 · Back to ward index