← Elmbridge (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Elmbridge 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

16 ward races

16 seats

8 elected below the proportional quota

50.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	14,892	38.6%	7	43.8%	8	50.0%	-1
Conservative and Unionist Party	11,939	30.9%	3	18.8%	7	43.8%	-4
Labour Party	2,567	6.6%	0	0.0%	1	6.3%	-1
HW and WG	1,627	4.2%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
TD and WG	1,344	3.5%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
W and ST.G IND	1,275	3.3%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
ERA	1,102	2.9%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
MRA	1,032	2.7%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
Independent	1,020	2.6%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
Welsh Socialist Republican Party	809	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Green Party	713	1.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	168	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	71	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	70	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	38,629	100.0%	16	100.0%	16	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Claygate · 1 seat · won at 39.9% · +10.1 pts below quota
Walton Central · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · +6.4 pts below quota
Molesey West · 1 seat · won at 44.7% · +5.3 pts below quota
Cobham and Downside · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · +4.2 pts below quota
Esher · 1 seat · won at 46.5% · +3.5 pts below quota
Molesey East · 1 seat · won at 48.1% · +1.9 pts below quota
Oatlands and Burwood Park · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
Hersham Village · 1 seat · won at 49.3% · +0.7 pts below quota
Thames Ditton · 1 seat · won at 50.8% · above quota
Walton South · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
Weybridge St. Georges Hill · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
Weybridge Riverside · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
Walton North · 1 seat · won at 62.8% · above quota
Hinchley Wood and Weston Green · 1 seat · won at 63.0% · above quota
Long Ditton · 1 seat · won at 69.5% · above quota

Race results

Claygate · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,559

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Marshall, M.	Independent	1,020	39.9%	Elected
2	McDonald, B.	Liberal Democrats	858	33.5%
3	Walsh, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	514	20.1%
4	Coombes, S.	Green Party	95	3.7%
5	Gray, S.	Labour Party	72	2.8%

Electorate 5,621 · Ballots cast 2,559 · EC ward code E05011074 · Back to ward index

Walton Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,417

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Luker, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,055	43.6%	Elected
2	Kelly, A.	Welsh Socialist Republican Party	809	33.5%
3	Verma, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	419	17.3%
4	Gray, C.	Labour Party	134	5.5%

Electorate 6,264 · Ballots cast 2,417 · EC ward code E05011085 · Back to ward index

Molesey West · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,311

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gormley, P.	MRA	1,032	44.7%	Elected
2	Nagle, P.	Liberal Democrats	750	32.5%
3	Fuchs, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	309	13.4%
4	Cope, S.	Labour Party	220	9.5%

Electorate 6,654 · Ballots cast 2,311 · EC ward code E05011081 · Back to ward index

Cobham and Downside · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,205

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mann, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,010	45.8%	Elected
2	Pollak, M.	Liberal Democrats	888	40.3%
3	Kingston, E.	Reform UK	168	7.6%
4	Threlkeld, I.	Labour Party	112	5.1%
5	Van Der Hagen, P.	Heritage Party	27	1.2%

Electorate 6,501 · Ballots cast 2,205 · EC ward code E05011075 · Back to ward index

Esher · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,371

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Leifer, S.	ERA	1,102	46.5%	Elected
2	Manship, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	844	35.6%
3	Evans, C.	Liberal Democrats	319	13.5%
4	Bennett, R.	Labour Party	106	4.5%

Electorate 6,578 · Ballots cast 2,371 · EC ward code E05011076 · Back to ward index

Molesey East · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,684

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whincup, K.	Liberal Democrats	1,291	48.1%	Elected
2	Dubois, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	957	35.7%
3	Dennis, S.	Labour Party	222	8.3%
4	Dillon, A.	Green Party	214	8.0%

Electorate 6,794 · Ballots cast 2,684 · EC ward code E05011080 · Back to ward index

Oatlands and Burwood Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,607

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cope, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,259	48.3%	Elected
2	Ferlez, E.	Liberal Democrats	1,130	43.3%
3	Rendall, A.	Labour Party	132	5.1%
4	Stevens, C.	Green Party	86	3.3%

Electorate 6,032 · Ballots cast 2,607 · EC ward code E05011082 · Back to ward index

Hersham Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,737

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gibbs, W.	Liberal Democrats	1,349	49.3%	Elected
2	Brown, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,209	44.2%
3	Ali, A.	Labour Party	179	6.5%

Electorate 6,767 · Ballots cast 2,737 · EC ward code E05011077 · Back to ward index

Thames Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.8 pts Valid ballots 2,644

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Batchelor, A.	TD and WG	1,344	50.8%	Elected
2	Callan, N.	Liberal Democrats	796	30.1%
3	Keywood, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	351	13.3%
4	Lewis, R.	Labour Party	153	5.8%

Electorate 6,731 · Ballots cast 2,644 · EC ward code E05011084 · Back to ward index

Walton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 2,692

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Price, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,389	51.6%	Elected
2	Butler, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,020	37.9%
3	Marcarian, E.	Labour Party	150	5.6%
4	Miles, J.	Green Party	133	4.9%

Electorate 6,974 · Ballots cast 2,692 · EC ward code E05011087 · Back to ward index

Weybridge St. Georges Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 2,404

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harman, P.	W and ST.G IND	1,275	53.0%	Elected
2	McFarlane, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	705	29.3%
3	Dean, G.	Labour Party	239	9.9%
4	Constant, S.	Green Party	185	7.7%

Electorate 6,506 · Ballots cast 2,404 · EC ward code E05011089 · Back to ward index

Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.3 pts Valid ballots 2,324

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parker, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,379	59.3%	Elected
2	Leakey, D.	Liberal Democrats	701	30.2%
3	Aylett, S.	Labour Party	130	5.6%
4	Wood, N.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	70	3.0%
5	Van Der Hagen, G.	Heritage Party	44	1.9%

Electorate 6,820 · Ballots cast 2,324 · EC ward code E05011083 · Back to ward index

Weybridge Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.4 pts Valid ballots 2,023

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sarsby, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,222	60.4%	Elected
2	Tshiaba, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	599	29.6%
3	Pilmer, H.	Labour Party	202	10.0%

Electorate 5,971 · Ballots cast 2,023 · EC ward code E05011088 · Back to ward index

Walton North · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.8 pts Valid ballots 1,919

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lambert, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,206	62.8%	Elected
2	Zhao, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	484	25.2%
3	Kamara, F.	Labour Party	229	11.9%

Electorate 6,081 · Ballots cast 1,919 · EC ward code E05011086 · Back to ward index

Hinchley Wood and Weston Green · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.0 pts Valid ballots 2,583

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coates, G.	HW and WG	1,627	63.0%	Elected
2	Winter, S.	Liberal Democrats	445	17.2%
3	Winter, W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	401	15.5%
4	Headland, R.	Labour Party	110	4.3%

Electorate 6,485 · Ballots cast 2,583 · EC ward code E05011078 · Back to ward index

Long Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.5 pts Valid ballots 2,149

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Langham, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,493	69.5%	Elected
2	Kim, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	479	22.3%
3	Eldergill, F.	Labour Party	177	8.2%

Electorate 5,319 · Ballots cast 2,149 · EC ward code E05011079 · Back to ward index