← Elmbridge (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Elmbridge 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

25 ward races

25 seats

11 elected below the proportional quota

44.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 25 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 25 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	35,409	42.6%	13	52.0%	12	48.0%	+1
Liberal Democrats	23,944	28.8%	3	12.0%	8	32.0%	-5
RES	11,721	14.1%	7	28.0%	3	12.0%	+4
Labour Party	6,835	8.2%	0	0.0%	2	8.0%	-2
Green Party	1,595	1.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Welsh Socialist Republican Party	1,157	1.4%	1	4.0%	0	0.0%	+1
WSTGI	1,153	1.4%	1	4.0%	0	0.0%	+1
Independent	877	1.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	315	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	129	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	83,135	100.0%	25	100.0%	25	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Molesey East · 1 seat · won at 34.8% · +15.2 pts below quota
Walton North · 1 seat · won at 38.5% · +11.5 pts below quota
Weybridge St. Georges Hill · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Walton Central · 1 seat · won at 46.8% · +3.2 pts below quota
Hinchley Wood/ Claygate & Oxshott · 1 seat · won at 46.9% · +3.1 pts below quota
West Molesey · 1 seat · won at 47.4% · +2.6 pts below quota
Walton · 1 seat · won at 48.1% · +1.9 pts below quota
Molesey West · 1 seat · won at 49.4% · +0.6 pts below quota
The Dittons · 1 seat · won at 49.7% · +0.3 pts below quota
Weybridge · 1 seat · won at 49.7% · +0.3 pts below quota
Weybridge Riverside · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · +0.1 pts below quota
Walton South · 1 seat · won at 51.1% · above quota
Hersham Village · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
Esher · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
Long Ditton · 1 seat · won at 52.9% · above quota
Walton South & Oatlands · 1 seat · won at 53.6% · above quota
East Molesey & Esher · 1 seat · won at 54.2% · above quota
Thames Ditton · 1 seat · won at 56.0% · above quota
Hersham · 1 seat · won at 59.0% · above quota
Hinchley Wood & Weston Green · 1 seat · won at 59.2% · above quota
Oatlands & Burwood Park · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
Claygate · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
Cobham & Downside · 1 seat · won at 64.5% · above quota
Cobham · 1 seat · won at 65.6% · above quota
Oxshott & D'abernon · 1 seat · won at 69.2% · above quota

Race results

Molesey East · single-seat

Marginal winner 34.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,917

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pope P.R.	RES	1,014	34.8%	Elected
2	Wang X.	Conservative and Unionist Party	892	30.6%
3	Flatau R.P.	Liberal Democrats	553	19.0%
4	Howard L.	Green Party	245	8.4%
5	Rendall R.	Labour Party	186	6.4%
6	Anderson D.P.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	27	0.9%

Electorate 6,790 · Ballots cast 2,917 · EC ward code E05011080 · Back to ward index

Walton North · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,989

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brown L.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	766	38.5%	Elected
2	Bailey C.M.	Liberal Democrats	489	24.6%
3	Kelly A.C.	Independent	408	20.5%
4	Ashurst P.L.	Labour Party	326	16.4%

Electorate 6,099 · Ballots cast 1,989 · EC ward code E05011086 · Back to ward index

Weybridge St. Georges Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,587

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harman P.M.	WSTGI	1,153	44.6%	Elected
2	Harvey D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,064	41.1%
3	Weertman W.	Labour Party	249	9.6%
4	Wood N.D.	Independent	121	4.7%

Electorate 6,402 · Ballots cast 2,587 · EC ward code E05011089 · Back to ward index

Walton Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,474

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sadler C.	Welsh Socialist Republican Party	1,157	46.8%	Elected
2	Liptrot P.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	689	27.8%
3	Nolan D.T.	Liberal Democrats	450	18.2%
4	Simanovits E.	Labour Party	178	7.2%

Electorate 6,231 · Ballots cast 2,474 · EC ward code E05011085 · Back to ward index

Hinchley Wood/ Claygate & Oxshott · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,880

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sugden M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,760	46.9%	Elected
2	Grose S.	Liberal Democrats	2,607	44.3%
3	Bennison M.	Reform UK	259	4.4%
4	Green F.A.	Labour Party	254	4.3%

Electorate 12,496 · Ballots cast 5,880 · EC ward code E58001502 · Back to ward index

West Molesey · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,055

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mallett E.	RES	1,922	47.4%	Elected
2	Sood C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,039	25.6%
3	Nickerson D.W.	Liberal Democrats	719	17.7%
4	Ajjane J.	Labour Party	375	9.2%

Electorate 10,344 · Ballots cast 4,055 · EC ward code E58001534 · Back to ward index

Walton · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,181

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lake R.I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,012	48.1%	Elected
2	Nolan D.T.	Liberal Democrats	1,446	34.6%
3	Ashurst P.L.	Labour Party	723	17.3%

Electorate 11,783 · Ballots cast 4,181 · EC ward code E58001528 · Back to ward index

Molesey West · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,557

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Axton M.	RES	1,262	49.4%	Elected
2	Tancsane Fuchs A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	563	22.0%
3	Stevenson P.	Liberal Democrats	499	19.5%
4	Sheldrake D.G.	Labour Party	233	9.1%

Electorate 6,714 · Ballots cast 2,557 · EC ward code E05011081 · Back to ward index

The Dittons · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,523

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Darby N.	RES	2,744	49.7%	Elected
2	Gattey D.S.	Liberal Democrats	1,239	22.4%
3	Weber N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,014	18.4%
4	Knowles G.	Green Party	297	5.4%
5	Ali A.	Labour Party	229	4.1%

Electorate 12,023 · Ballots cast 5,523 · EC ward code E58001527 · Back to ward index

Weybridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,798

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Oliver T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,384	49.7%	Elected
2	Tilling A.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,610	33.6%
3	Pilmer H.C.	Labour Party	456	9.5%
4	Wood N.D.	Independent	348	7.3%

Electorate 11,753 · Ballots cast 4,798 · EC ward code E58001535 · Back to ward index

Weybridge Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,456

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sarsby J.	Liberal Democrats	1,225	49.9%	Elected
2	Gill M.K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	956	38.9%
3	Pilmer H.C.	Labour Party	275	11.2%

Electorate 6,044 · Ballots cast 2,456 · EC ward code E05011088 · Back to ward index

Walton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.1 pts Valid ballots 2,690

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cope J.P.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,375	51.1%	Elected
2	Hewens K.J.	Liberal Democrats	1,083	40.3%
3	Jepson K.A.	Labour Party	232	8.6%

Electorate 6,674 · Ballots cast 2,690 · EC ward code E05011087 · Back to ward index

Hersham Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.3 pts Valid ballots 2,476

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wood P.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,294	52.3%	Elected
2	Chandler C.R.	Liberal Democrats	781	31.5%
3	Brown J.D.	Labour Party	401	16.2%

Electorate 6,572 · Ballots cast 2,476 · EC ward code E05011077 · Back to ward index

Esher · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.4 pts Valid ballots 2,738

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Young D.J.	RES	1,435	52.4%	Elected
2	Larsson J.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	992	36.2%
3	Harmour L.J.	Green Party	173	6.3%
4	Dennis S.E.	Labour Party	138	5.0%

Electorate 6,676 · Ballots cast 2,738 · EC ward code E05011076 · Back to ward index

Long Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.9 pts Valid ballots 2,514

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Langham J.	Liberal Democrats	1,329	52.9%	Elected
2	Riley-Hards C.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	808	32.1%
3	Knowles G.	Green Party	218	8.7%
4	Lewis J.C.	Labour Party	120	4.8%
5	Fry S.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	39	1.6%

Electorate 5,303 · Ballots cast 2,514 · EC ward code E05011079 · Back to ward index

Walton South & Oatlands · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.6 pts Valid ballots 4,617

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Samuels T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,475	53.6%	Elected
2	Hampson P.J.	Liberal Democrats	1,692	36.6%
3	Weertman W.	Labour Party	450	9.7%

Electorate 11,267 · Ballots cast 4,617 · EC ward code E58001529 · Back to ward index

East Molesey & Esher · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.2 pts Valid ballots 4,651

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bax S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,520	54.2%	Elected
2	McDonald B.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,429	30.7%
3	Harmour L.J.	Green Party	472	10.1%
4	Bennett R.C.	Labour Party	230	4.9%

Electorate 12,309 · Ballots cast 4,651 · EC ward code E58001478 · Back to ward index

Thames Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.0 pts Valid ballots 2,914

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Batchelor A.	RES	1,633	56.0%	Elected
2	Gattey D.S.	Liberal Democrats	489	16.8%
3	Wylde P.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	456	15.6%
4	Clark M.J.	Green Party	190	6.5%
5	Fearnley-Marr J.R.	Labour Party	146	5.0%

Electorate 6,680 · Ballots cast 2,914 · EC ward code E05011084 · Back to ward index

Hersham · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.0 pts Valid ballots 4,109

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	O'Reilly J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,424	59.0%	Elected
2	Chandler C.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,115	27.1%
3	Brown J.D.	Labour Party	570	13.9%

Electorate 10,730 · Ballots cast 4,109 · EC ward code E58001501 · Back to ward index

Hinchley Wood & Weston Green · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.2 pts Valid ballots 2,889

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coates G.	RES	1,711	59.2%	Elected
2	Herbert G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	575	19.9%
3	Ambekar L.	Liberal Democrats	502	17.4%
4	Samuel J.W.	Labour Party	101	3.5%

Electorate 6,427 · Ballots cast 2,889 · EC ward code E05011078 · Back to ward index

Oatlands & Burwood Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.3 pts Valid ballots 2,450

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Banerjee A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,454	59.3%	Elected
2	Joensen H.	Liberal Democrats	772	31.5%
3	Rendall A.	Labour Party	224	9.1%

Electorate 5,976 · Ballots cast 2,450 · EC ward code E05011082 · Back to ward index

Claygate · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.4 pts Valid ballots 2,760

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McDonald B.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,668	60.4%	Elected
2	Aleji W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	979	35.5%
3	Moon H.F.	Labour Party	113	4.1%

Electorate 5,544 · Ballots cast 2,760 · EC ward code E05011074 · Back to ward index

Cobham & Downside · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.5 pts Valid ballots 2,195

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mann A.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,416	64.5%	Elected
2	Pitman Z.E.	Liberal Democrats	475	21.6%
3	Gray S.J.	Labour Party	185	8.4%
4	Kingston E.L.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	63	2.9%
5	Bennison M.	Reform UK	56	2.6%

Electorate 6,475 · Ballots cast 2,195 · EC ward code E05011075 · Back to ward index

Cobham · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.6 pts Valid ballots 3,967

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lewis D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,601	65.6%	Elected
2	Bellchamber D.C.	Liberal Democrats	1,087	27.4%
3	Threlkeld I.	Labour Party	279	7.0%

Electorate 10,627 · Ballots cast 3,967 · EC ward code E58001472 · Back to ward index

Oxshott & D'abernon · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.2 pts Valid ballots 2,748

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parker A.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,901	69.2%	Elected
2	Combe P.	Liberal Democrats	685	24.9%
3	Gray C.A.	Labour Party	162	5.9%

Electorate 6,734 · Ballots cast 2,748 · EC ward code E05011083 · Back to ward index