← Eastleigh (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Eastleigh 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

12 ward races
12 seats
4 elected below the proportional quota
33.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 12 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Liberal Democrats14,20547.7%1083.3%758.3%+3
Conservative and Unionist Party7,42524.9%18.3%325.0%-2
Labour Party3,45611.6%00.0%18.3%-1
Green Party2,2797.7%00.0%18.3%-1
Independent1,9956.7%18.3%00.0%+1
Reform UK4121.4%00.0%00.0%0
Total29,772100.0%12100.0%12100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Eastleigh Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,318

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Irish, W.Liberal Democrats86637.4%Elected
2Constable, J.Labour Party77433.4%
3Saxena, Y.Conservative and Unionist Party31913.8%
4Culley, A.Reform UK1847.9%
5Stapleton, J.Green Party1757.5%

Electorate 7,506 · Ballots cast 2,318 · EC ward code E05011191 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh North · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,078

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Park, T.Liberal Democrats94845.6%Elected
2Hunter, C.Conservative and Unionist Party50324.2%
3Jutsum, S.Labour Party38418.5%
4Elger, R.Green Party24311.7%

Electorate 7,198 · Ballots cast 2,078 · EC ward code E05011192 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh South · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,946

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bourne, A.Liberal Democrats90546.5%Elected
2Phillips, S.Labour Party39720.4%
3Vivian, R.Conservative and Unionist Party24112.4%
4Fawcett, C.Reform UK22811.7%
5Roebuck, N.Green Party1759.0%

Electorate 8,175 · Ballots cast 1,946 · EC ward code E05011193 · Back to ward index

Fair Oak and Horton Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,136

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Broomfield, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,52048.5%Elected
2Clay, R.Liberal Democrats1,02532.7%
3Parry, B.Green Party32910.5%
4Phillips, A.Labour Party2628.4%

Electorate 8,821 · Ballots cast 3,136 · EC ward code E05011194 · Back to ward index

Chandler's Ford · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.2 pts Valid ballots 2,849

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pragnell, D.Liberal Democrats1,42950.2%Elected
2Lee, S.Conservative and Unionist Party90631.8%
3Southward, Z.Labour Party2739.6%
4Joyce, N.Green Party2418.5%

Electorate 8,115 · Ballots cast 2,849 · EC ward code E05011190 · Back to ward index

Hiltingbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.8 pts Valid ballots 3,453

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Attrill, K.Liberal Democrats1,78851.8%Elected
2Slawson, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,20735.0%
3House, R.Green Party2938.5%
4Dilworth, A.Labour Party1654.8%

Electorate 8,112 · Ballots cast 3,453 · EC ward code E05011198 · Back to ward index

Hedge End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.1 pts Valid ballots 2,704

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1House, K.Liberal Democrats1,43653.1%Elected
2Hall, J.Conservative and Unionist Party80129.6%
3Day, K.Labour Party29510.9%
4Skinner, G.Green Party1726.4%

Electorate 8,498 · Ballots cast 2,704 · EC ward code E05011197 · Back to ward index

Hedge End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.0 pts Valid ballots 1,973

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pretty, D.Liberal Democrats1,10556.0%Elected
2Yates, C.Conservative and Unionist Party39319.9%
3Budd, G.Labour Party29014.7%
4Fleming, G.Green Party1859.4%

Electorate 7,473 · Ballots cast 1,973 · EC ward code E05011196 · Back to ward index

Bishopstoke · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.1 pts Valid ballots 2,956

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Tidridge, G.Independent1,65956.1%Elected
2Winstanley, A.Liberal Democrats71624.2%
3Burcombe-Filer, B.Conservative and Unionist Party2939.9%
4Brookes, C.Labour Party2889.7%

Electorate 8,279 · Ballots cast 2,956 · EC ward code E05011187 · Back to ward index

Hamble and Netley · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.8 pts Valid ballots 2,568

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cross, M.Liberal Democrats1,50958.8%Elected
2Arnold, S.Conservative and Unionist Party38214.9%
3Hand, S.Independent33613.1%
4Horton, P.Green Party1746.8%
5Kosted, G.Labour Party1676.5%

Electorate 7,956 · Ballots cast 2,568 · EC ward code E05011195 · Back to ward index

Botley · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.1 pts Valid ballots 1,816

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Kinloch, D.Liberal Democrats1,14663.1%Elected
2Hawthorne, J.Conservative and Unionist Party48026.4%
3Skinner, A.Green Party19010.5%

Electorate 5,986 · Ballots cast 1,816 · EC ward code E05011188 · Back to ward index

Bursledon and Hound North · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.4 pts Valid ballots 1,975

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Holes, S.Liberal Democrats1,33267.4%Elected
2Arnold, N.Conservative and Unionist Party38019.2%
3Merewether-Helps, A.Labour Party1618.2%
4Court, K.Green Party1025.2%

Electorate 7,560 · Ballots cast 1,975 · EC ward code E05011189 · Back to ward index