← Eastleigh (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Eastleigh 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

13 ward races
13 seats
3 elected below the proportional quota
23.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Liberal Democrats16,79451.9%1292.3%861.5%+4
Conservative and Unionist Party7,79924.1%00.0%323.1%-3
Labour Party3,50210.8%00.0%17.7%-1
Independent2,1506.6%17.7%17.7%0
Green Party2,0326.3%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK700.2%00.0%00.0%0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition110.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total32,358100.0%13100.0%13100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Fair Oak & Horton Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,174

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Marsh, M.Liberal Democrats1,28640.5%Elected
2Burcombe-Filer, B.Conservative and Unionist Party1,11435.1%
3Parry, B.Green Party50015.8%
4Ashton, M.Labour Party2748.6%

Electorate 8,710 · Ballots cast 3,174 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,165

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dedhia, B.Liberal Democrats97945.2%Elected
2Constable, J.Labour Party61028.2%
3Fox, D.Conservative and Unionist Party34215.8%
4Stapleton, J.Green Party23410.8%

Electorate 7,459 · Ballots cast 2,165 · Back to ward index

Bishopstoke · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,132

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Caws, K.Independent1,54449.3%Elected
2Winstanley, A.Liberal Democrats88428.2%
3Yates, R.Conservative and Unionist Party2859.1%
4White, V.Labour Party2608.3%
5Chaffey, G.Independent1595.1%

Electorate 8,320 · Ballots cast 3,132 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh South · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 1,999

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mann, D.Liberal Democrats1,00850.4%Elected
2Phillips, S.Labour Party38619.3%
3Arnold, N.Conservative and Unionist Party34617.3%
4Roebuck, N.Green Party1899.5%
5Fawcett, C.Reform UK703.5%

Electorate 8,094 · Ballots cast 1,999 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh North · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 2,253

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Reynolds, R.Liberal Democrats1,21353.8%Elected
2Hunter, C.Conservative and Unionist Party59426.4%
3Jutsum, S.Labour Party44619.8%

Electorate 7,142 · Ballots cast 2,253 · Back to ward index

Hamble & Netley · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.1 pts Valid ballots 2,813

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Holland, A.Liberal Democrats1,52354.1%Elected
2Hand, S.Independent44715.9%
3Fox, J.Conservative and Unionist Party44515.8%
4Horton, P.Green Party2167.7%
5Phillips, A.Labour Party1826.5%

Electorate 7,973 · Ballots cast 2,813 · Back to ward index

West End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.3 pts Valid ballots 1,614

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Du-Crow, B.Liberal Democrats87654.3%Elected
2Hall, J.Conservative and Unionist Party49330.5%
3Willoughby, S.Labour Party1438.9%
4Waghorn, D.Green Party1026.3%

Electorate 4,861 · Ballots cast 1,614 · Back to ward index

Hedge End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 2,164

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Corben, I.Liberal Democrats1,20255.5%Elected
2Redding, P.Conservative and Unionist Party51023.6%
3Budd, G.Labour Party27712.8%
4Fleming, G.Green Party1758.1%

Electorate 7,411 · Ballots cast 2,164 · Back to ward index

West End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 1,489

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gomer, R.Liberal Democrats84756.9%Elected
2Linsdell, A.Conservative and Unionist Party39826.7%
3Weeks, T.Green Party1369.1%
4Kosted, G.Labour Party976.5%
5Henry, N.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition110.7%

Electorate 4,661 · Ballots cast 1,489 · Back to ward index

Hiltingbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.1 pts Valid ballots 3,570

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Duguid, J.Liberal Democrats2,03957.1%Elected
2Slawson, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,11131.1%
3House, R.Green Party2757.7%
4Robinson, E.Labour Party1454.1%

Electorate 8,067 · Ballots cast 3,570 · Back to ward index

Hedge End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.6 pts Valid ballots 2,865

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Garton, C.Liberal Democrats1,65157.6%Elected
2Yates, C.Conservative and Unionist Party77827.2%
3Day, K.Labour Party2318.1%
4Skinner, G.Green Party2057.2%

Electorate 8,545 · Ballots cast 2,865 · Back to ward index

Chandler's Ford · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 3,037

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Baker, G.Liberal Democrats1,76958.2%Elected
2Lee, S.Conservative and Unionist Party99232.7%
3O'Neill, K.Labour Party2769.1%

Electorate 8,202 · Ballots cast 3,037 · Back to ward index

Bursledon & Hound North · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.8 pts Valid ballots 2,083

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1O'Sullivan, J.Liberal Democrats1,51772.8%Elected
2Arnold, S.Conservative and Unionist Party39118.8%
3Phillips, J.Labour Party1758.4%

Electorate 7,431 · Ballots cast 2,083 · Back to ward index