← Eastleigh (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Eastleigh 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

20 ward races

20 seats

15 elected below the proportional quota

75.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	33,093	44.0%	16	80.0%	9	45.0%	+7
Conservative and Unionist Party	27,850	37.0%	2	10.0%	8	40.0%	-6
Labour Party	8,625	11.5%	0	0.0%	2	10.0%	-2
Independent	3,884	5.2%	2	10.0%	1	5.0%	+1
Green Party	602	0.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
HANTS IND	497	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	401	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	192	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	77	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	75,221	100.0%	20	100.0%	20	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Bishopstoke & Fair Oak · 1 seat · won at 34.7% · +15.3 pts below quota
Eastleigh Central · 1 seat · won at 36.9% · +13.1 pts below quota
Eastleigh North · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
Eastleigh South · 1 seat · won at 41.5% · +8.5 pts below quota
Eastleigh South · 1 seat · won at 42.6% · +7.4 pts below quota
Eastleigh North · 1 seat · won at 44.3% · +5.7 pts below quota
Bishopstoke · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · +3.7 pts below quota
Hedge End & West End South · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · +3.6 pts below quota
Chandlers Ford · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · +3.3 pts below quota
Hiltingbury · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Fair Oak & Horton Heath · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
West End & Horton Heath · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Botley · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · +1.3 pts below quota
Hedge End North · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
Chandler's Ford · 1 seat · won at 49.8% · +0.2 pts below quota
Botley & Hedge End North · 1 seat · won at 50.2% · above quota
Hedge End South · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
Hamble · 1 seat · won at 54.1% · above quota
Hamble & Netley · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
Bursledon & Hound North · 1 seat · won at 60.6% · above quota

Race results

Bishopstoke & Fair Oak · single-seat

Marginal winner 34.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,527

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parker-Jones L.A.	Independent	1,917	34.7%	Elected
2	Thornton M.	Liberal Democrats	1,657	30.0%
3	Burcombe-Filer B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,394	25.2%
4	Phillips J.	Labour Party	379	6.9%
5	Lyon M.E.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	141	2.6%
6	Lovell R.D.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	39	0.7%

Electorate 12,783 · Ballots cast 5,527 · EC ward code E58000539 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,553

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Irish W.	Liberal Democrats	943	36.9%	Elected
2	Constable J.	Labour Party	735	28.8%
3	Yates C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	641	25.1%
4	Raj S.	HANTS IND	146	5.7%
5	Culley A.C.	Reform UK	88	3.4%

Electorate 7,738 · Ballots cast 2,553 · EC ward code E05011191 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh North · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,256

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Park T.	Liberal Democrats	1,629	38.3%	Elected
2	Crosher L.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,355	31.8%
3	Constable J.	Labour Party	920	21.6%
4	Edwards J.P.	HANTS IND	150	3.5%
5	Culley A.C.	Reform UK	104	2.4%
6	Greenwood C.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	98	2.3%

Electorate 12,235 · Ballots cast 4,256 · EC ward code E58000550 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh South · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,212

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Irish W.	Liberal Democrats	2,161	41.5%	Elected
2	Lee S.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,796	34.5%
3	Jordan S.	Labour Party	980	18.8%
4	Moore A.	HANTS IND	201	3.9%
5	Weller J.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	74	1.4%

Electorate 15,573 · Ballots cast 5,212 · EC ward code E58000551 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh South · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,340

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bourne A.G.	Liberal Democrats	996	42.6%	Elected
2	Payne S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	731	31.2%
3	Jordan S.	Labour Party	613	26.2%

Electorate 7,966 · Ballots cast 2,340 · EC ward code E05011193 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh North · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,573

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Park T.	Liberal Democrats	1,140	44.3%	Elected
2	Crosher L.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	951	37.0%
3	O'Neill K.	Labour Party	482	18.7%

Electorate 7,382 · Ballots cast 2,573 · EC ward code E05011192 · Back to ward index

Bishopstoke · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,738

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tidridge G.	Independent	1,731	46.3%	Elected
2	Winstanley A.M.	Liberal Democrats	972	26.0%
3	Burcombe-Filer B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	728	19.5%
4	Phillips S.	Labour Party	269	7.2%
5	Lovell R.D.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	38	1.0%

Electorate 8,499 · Ballots cast 3,738 · EC ward code E05011187 · Back to ward index

Hedge End & West End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,754

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Craig T.	Liberal Democrats	2,206	46.4%	Elected
2	Hall J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,189	46.0%
3	Phillips S.	Labour Party	359	7.6%

Electorate 12,353 · Ballots cast 4,754 · EC ward code E58000567 · Back to ward index

Chandlers Ford · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,624

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Groves T.	Liberal Democrats	2,627	46.7%	Elected
2	Grajewski J.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,584	45.9%
3	Hubert G.J.	Labour Party	413	7.3%

Electorate 11,901 · Ballots cast 5,624 · EC ward code E58000546 · Back to ward index

Hiltingbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,089

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Buckley A.E.	Liberal Democrats	1,962	48.0%	Elected
2	Atkinson M.D.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,853	45.3%
3	Hubert G.J.	Labour Party	274	6.7%

Electorate 8,233 · Ballots cast 4,089 · EC ward code E05011198 · Back to ward index

Fair Oak & Horton Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,580

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Broomfield S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,720	48.0%	Elected
2	Couldrey N.	Liberal Democrats	1,057	29.5%
3	Parry B.D.	Green Party	388	10.8%
4	Lyon M.E.	Independent	236	6.6%
5	Phillips J.	Labour Party	179	5.0%

Electorate 8,412 · Ballots cast 3,580 · EC ward code E05011194 · Back to ward index

West End & Horton Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,179

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Broomfield S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,008	48.0%	Elected
2	Tennent B.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,664	39.8%
3	Willoughby S.	Labour Party	419	10.0%
4	McGuinness H.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	88	2.1%

Electorate 10,717 · Ballots cast 4,179 · EC ward code E58000593 · Back to ward index

Botley · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,990

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kinloch D.	Liberal Democrats	970	48.7%	Elected
2	Haythorne J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	854	42.9%
3	Phillips A.J.	Labour Party	166	8.3%

Electorate 5,143 · Ballots cast 1,990 · EC ward code E05011188 · Back to ward index

Hedge End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,471

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pretty D.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,215	49.2%	Elected
2	Hall S.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	855	34.6%
3	Fleming G.	Green Party	214	8.7%
4	Willoughby S.	Labour Party	187	7.6%

Electorate 7,617 · Ballots cast 2,471 · EC ward code E05011196 · Back to ward index

Chandler's Ford · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,502

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pragnell D.A.	Liberal Democrats	1,745	49.8%	Elected
2	Lee S.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,452	41.5%
3	Phillips G.	Labour Party	305	8.7%

Electorate 8,390 · Ballots cast 3,502 · EC ward code E05011190 · Back to ward index

Botley & Hedge End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.2 pts Valid ballots 4,467

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kyrle R.G.M.	Liberal Democrats	2,242	50.2%	Elected
2	Hall S.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,766	39.5%
3	Williamson K.P.	Labour Party	459	10.3%

Electorate 12,760 · Ballots cast 4,467 · EC ward code E58000540 · Back to ward index

Hedge End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.9 pts Valid ballots 3,428

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	House K.	Liberal Democrats	1,779	51.9%	Elected
2	Hall J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,412	41.2%
3	Layland B.L.	Labour Party	237	6.9%

Electorate 8,710 · Ballots cast 3,428 · EC ward code E05011197 · Back to ward index

Hamble · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.1 pts Valid ballots 5,388

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	House K.	Liberal Democrats	2,915	54.1%	Elected
2	Preston M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,808	33.6%
3	Homer H.J.	Labour Party	665	12.3%

Electorate 14,802 · Ballots cast 5,388 · EC ward code E58000563 · Back to ward index

Hamble & Netley · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 3,169

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cross M.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,771	55.9%	Elected
2	Preston M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,030	32.5%
3	Homer H.J.	Labour Party	368	11.6%

Electorate 8,052 · Ballots cast 3,169 · EC ward code E05011195 · Back to ward index

Bursledon & Hound North · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.6 pts Valid ballots 2,381

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holes S.	Liberal Democrats	1,442	60.6%	Elected
2	Redding P.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	723	30.4%
3	Cronin C.A.	Labour Party	216	9.1%

Electorate 7,383 · Ballots cast 2,381 · EC ward code E05011189 · Back to ward index