← East Lindsey (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort

East Lindsey 2025

Local elections held 1 May 2025.

13 ward races

13 seats

8 elected below the proportional quota

61.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Reform UK	18,824	47.9%	13	100.0%	7	53.8%	+6
Conservative and Unionist Party	10,637	27.1%	0	0.0%	4	30.8%	-4
Labour Party	3,532	9.0%	0	0.0%	1	7.7%	-1
Independent	2,818	7.2%	0	0.0%	1	7.7%	-1
Liberal Democrats	1,781	4.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Green Party	1,147	2.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Lincolnshire Independents Lincolnshire First	507	1.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Blue Revolution	33	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	12	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	39,291	100.0%	13	100.0%	13	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Louth South · 1 seat · won at 34.3% · +15.7 pts below quota
Louth North · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
Woodhall Spa & Wragby · 1 seat · won at 41.4% · +8.6 pts below quota
Louth Wolds · 1 seat · won at 41.7% · +8.3 pts below quota
Horncastle & the Keals · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Tattershall Castle · 1 seat · won at 46.6% · +3.4 pts below quota
Saltfleet & the Cotes · 1 seat · won at 47.0% · +3.0 pts below quota
Alford & Sutton · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · +0.9 pts below quota
Wainfleet · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
Mablethorpe · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
Skegness South · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
Ingoldmells Rural · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
Skegness North · 1 seat · won at 62.6% · above quota

Race results

Louth South · single-seat

Marginal winner 34.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,718

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thomas Charles Catton	Reform UK	932	34.3%	Elected
2	Jill Makinson-Sanders	Independent	876	32.2%
3	Ros Jackson	Labour Party	379	13.9%
4	Abram Marfleet	Conservative and Unionist Party	330	12.1%
5	Adam John Bebbington	Green Party	135	5.0%
6	Alex Beeby	Liberal Democrats	66	2.4%

Electorate 8,145 · Ballots cast 2,724 · Invalid 6 · EC ward code 57430 · Back to ward index

Louth North · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,792

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nick Hastings	Reform UK	1,070	38.3%	Elected
2	Andrew Leonard	Independent	703	25.2%
3	Alex Hall	Conservative and Unionist Party	552	19.8%
4	Claire Arnold	Labour Party	355	12.7%
5	Ian Richard Scard	Liberal Democrats	112	4.0%

Electorate 8,575 · Ballots cast 2,802 · Invalid 10 · EC ward code 57429 · Back to ward index

Woodhall Spa & Wragby · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,778

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Natalie Oliver	Reform UK	1,565	41.4%	Elected
2	Patricia Bradwell	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,184	31.3%
3	Ru Yarsley	Lincolnshire Independents Lincolnshire First	507	13.4%
4	Gary Trevor Hewson	Labour Party	300	7.9%
5	Ross David Pepper	Liberal Democrats	219	5.8%

Electorate 8,857 · Ballots cast 3,793 · Invalid 15 · EC ward code 57438 · Back to ward index

Louth Wolds · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,505

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Alex McGonigle	Reform UK	1,461	41.7%	Elected
2	Hugo Marfleet	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,024	29.2%
3	Daniel Anthony Simpson	Independent	399	11.4%
4	Robert Bushell	Labour Party	285	8.1%
5	Paul Fisher	Green Party	176	5.0%
6	Carole Lebrun	Liberal Democrats	147	4.2%
7	Christopher Stephenson	Social Democratic Party	12	0.3%

Electorate 8,741 · Ballots cast 3,530 · Invalid 25 · EC ward code 57431 · Back to ward index

Horncastle & the Keals · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,158

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Philip Roberts	Reform UK	1,407	44.6%	Elected
2	William Gray	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,092	34.6%
3	Peter Jouvenal	Labour Party	334	10.6%
4	Steven Richard Simons	Liberal Democrats	325	10.3%

Electorate 9,220 · Ballots cast 3,177 · Invalid 19 · EC ward code 57428 · Back to ward index

Tattershall Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,162

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sean Matthews	Reform UK	1,472	46.6%	Elected
2	Tom Ashton	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,317	41.7%
3	Lin Sadler	Labour Party	188	5.9%
4	Caroline Helen Wills-Wright	Liberal Democrats	152	4.8%
5	Tristan Gilbert	Blue Revolution	33	1.0%

Electorate 9,001 · Ballots cast 3,177 · Invalid 15 · EC ward code 57436 · Back to ward index

Saltfleet & the Cotes · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,093

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bayleigh Robinson	Reform UK	1,453	47.0%	Elected
2	Daniel McNally	Conservative and Unionist Party	822	26.6%
3	Travis Stephen Hesketh	Independent	484	15.6%
4	Elizabeth Susan Carole Foreman	Labour Party	234	7.6%
5	David Jason Smalley	Liberal Democrats	100	3.2%

Electorate 7,952 · Ballots cast 3,101 · Invalid 8 · EC ward code 57433 · Back to ward index

Alford & Sutton · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,111

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mike Beecham	Reform UK	1,527	49.1%	Elected
2	Robert William Watson	Green Party	836	26.9%
3	Colin Matthews	Conservative and Unionist Party	543	17.5%
4	Ed Green	Labour Party	135	4.3%
5	Mark Binns	Liberal Democrats	68	2.2%

Electorate 7,798 · Ballots cast 3,120 · Invalid 9 · EC ward code 57427 · Back to ward index

Wainfleet · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 3,288

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Maria Hume	Reform UK	1,695	51.6%	Elected
2	Wendy Bowkett	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,169	35.6%
3	Max Harvey Gibson	Labour Party	225	6.8%
4	Alice Rose Lee	Liberal Democrats	199	6.1%

Electorate 9,381 · Ballots cast 3,304 · Invalid 16 · EC ward code 57437 · Back to ward index

Mablethorpe · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 2,924

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ruben Robinson	Reform UK	1,543	52.8%	Elected
2	Noi Sear	Conservative and Unionist Party	599	20.5%
3	Graham Edward Cullen	Labour Party	588	20.1%
4	George Edward Horton	Independent	101	3.5%
5	Philip Charles Culmer	Liberal Democrats	93	3.2%

Electorate 7,810 · Ballots cast 2,930 · Invalid 6 · EC ward code 57432 · Back to ward index

Skegness South · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 2,560

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jimmy Brookes	Reform UK	1,493	58.3%	Elected
2	Steve O'Dare	Conservative and Unionist Party	569	22.2%
3	Paul Collins	Independent	255	10.0%
4	David James Ernest Hall	Labour Party	172	6.7%
5	Tony Fielding-Raby	Liberal Democrats	71	2.8%

Electorate 8,689 · Ballots cast 2,573 · Invalid 13 · EC ward code 57435 · Back to ward index

Ingoldmells Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.4 pts Valid ballots 2,822

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Danny Brookes	Reform UK	1,704	60.4%	Elected
2	Colin John Davie	Conservative and Unionist Party	784	27.8%
3	Alison McIntyre	Labour Party	179	6.3%
4	David Tucker	Liberal Democrats	144	5.1%

Electorate 7,688 · Ballots cast 2,837 · Invalid 15 · EC ward code 29809 · Back to ward index

Skegness North · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.6 pts Valid ballots 2,398

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Adrian Findley	Reform UK	1,502	62.6%	Elected
2	Carl Stuart Macey	Conservative and Unionist Party	652	27.2%
3	Emily May Elizabeth Wood	Labour Party	158	6.6%
4	James Plastow	Liberal Democrats	85	3.5%

Electorate 8,870 · Ballots cast 2,406 · Invalid 8 · EC ward code 57434 · Back to ward index