← Cotswold (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Cotswold 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

32 ward races

34 seats

4 elected below the proportional quota

11.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 32 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 34 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	14,835	46.2%	22	64.7%	16	47.1%	+6
Conservative and Unionist Party	14,254	44.4%	9	26.5%	16	47.1%	-7
Green Party	1,573	4.9%	2	5.9%	1	2.9%	+1
Independent	1,041	3.2%	1	2.9%	1	2.9%	0
Labour Party	288	0.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	67	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	31	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	32,089	100.0%	34	100.0%	34	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Tetbury with Upton · 1 seat · won at 37.6% · +12.4 pts below quota
Lechlade, Kempsford & Fairford South · 2 seats · won at 24.8% · +8.5 pts below quota
Moreton East · 1 seat · won at 42.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
Bourton Village · 1 seat · won at 50.3% · above quota
Tetbury Town · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Northleach · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Campden & Vale · 2 seats · won at 34.7% · above quota
Fairford North · 1 seat · won at 51.5% · above quota
Moreton West · 1 seat · won at 51.5% · above quota
Coln Valley · 1 seat · won at 52.2% · above quota
Sandywell · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
The Beeches · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
Blockley · 1 seat · won at 56.3% · above quota
The Rissingtons · 1 seat · won at 56.6% · above quota
Stratton · 1 seat · won at 56.7% · above quota
Kemble · 1 seat · won at 56.9% · above quota
The Ampneys & Hampton · 1 seat · won at 57.5% · above quota
Stow · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
Bourton Vale · 1 seat · won at 60.9% · above quota
Grumbolds Ash with Avening · 1 seat · won at 61.4% · above quota
Abbey · 1 seat · won at 62.2% · above quota
South Cerney Village · 1 seat · won at 63.7% · above quota
Chesterton · 1 seat · won at 63.9% · above quota
Chedworth & Churn Valley · 1 seat · won at 64.0% · above quota
Ermin · 1 seat · won at 64.9% · above quota
Fosseridge · 1 seat · won at 65.6% · above quota
Siddington & Cerney Rural · 1 seat · won at 65.9% · above quota
Four Acres · 1 seat · won at 66.1% · above quota
St Michael's · 1 seat · won at 68.4% · above quota
Watermoor · 1 seat · won at 69.8% · above quota
New Mills · 1 seat · won at 72.9% · above quota
Tetbury East & Rural · 1 seat · won at 76.7% · above quota

Race results

Tetbury with Upton · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 710

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Twells, C.	Liberal Democrats	267	37.6%	Elected
2	Coleman, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	207	29.2%
3	Painter, K.	Independent	142	20.0%
4	Wagner, M.	Green Party	94	13.2%

Electorate 1,713 · Ballots cast 710 · Back to ward index

Lechlade, Kempsford & Fairford South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,932

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Muir, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,150	29.2%	Elected
2	Mansilla, H.	Liberal Democrats	976	24.8%	Elected
3	Andrews, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	785	20.0%
4	Trotter, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	776	19.7%
5	Hall, E.	Labour Party	131	3.3%
6	Smith, T.	Labour Party	114	2.9%

Electorate 4,628 · Ballots cast 3,932 · Back to ward index

Moreton East · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,020

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jenkinson, D.	Liberal Democrats	436	42.7%	Elected
2	Bradley, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	407	39.9%
3	Allen, C.	Independent	108	10.6%
4	Berry, S.	Green Party	69	6.8%

Electorate 2,541 · Ballots cast 1,020 · Back to ward index

Bourton Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.3 pts Valid ballots 845

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wareing, J.	Liberal Democrats	425	50.3%	Elected
2	Samuel, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	420	49.7%

Electorate 2,437 · Ballots cast 845 · Back to ward index

Tetbury Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 666

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watson, I.	Liberal Democrats	336	50.5%	Elected
2	Hirst, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	183	27.5%
3	Pearce, A.	Independent	104	15.6%
4	Bye, S.	Labour Party	43	6.5%

Electorate 1,989 · Ballots cast 666 · Back to ward index

Northleach · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 1,012

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dale, T.	Liberal Democrats	511	50.5%	Elected
2	Amory, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	427	42.2%
3	Grayson-Gaito, H.	Green Party	74	7.3%

Electorate 2,223 · Ballots cast 1,012 · Back to ward index

Campden & Vale · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 34.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.3 pts Valid ballots 3,630

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stowe, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,271	35.0%	Elected
2	Blomefield, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,258	34.7%	Elected
3	Loveridge, D.	Liberal Democrats	604	16.6%
4	Potter, R.	Liberal Democrats	497	13.7%

Electorate 5,065 · Ballots cast 3,630 · Back to ward index

Fairford North · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.5 pts Valid ballots 789

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vann, M.	Liberal Democrats	406	51.5%	Elected
2	Dutton, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	316	40.1%
3	Nicholls, J.	Heritage Party	67	8.5%

Electorate 1,952 · Ballots cast 789 · Back to ward index

Moreton West · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.5 pts Valid ballots 876

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Corps, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	451	51.5%	Elected
2	Thurling, C.	Liberal Democrats	362	41.3%
3	Eastoe, B.	Green Party	63	7.2%

Electorate 1,916 · Ballots cast 876 · Back to ward index

Coln Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.2 pts Valid ballots 920

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fowles, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	480	52.2%	Elected
2	Wilkinson, T.	Liberal Democrats	440	47.8%

Electorate 1,923 · Ballots cast 920 · Back to ward index

Sandywell · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 834

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Theyer, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	448	53.7%	Elected
2	McLellan, A.	Liberal Democrats	386	46.3%

Electorate 2,059 · Ballots cast 834 · Back to ward index

The Beeches · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 731

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Robbins, N.	Liberal Democrats	406	55.5%	Elected
2	Limb, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	251	34.3%
3	Schlappa, L.	Green Party	74	10.1%

Electorate 2,190 · Ballots cast 731 · Back to ward index

Blockley · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.3 pts Valid ballots 920

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Turner, C.	Green Party	518	56.3%	Elected
2	Jepson, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	402	43.7%

Electorate 2,134 · Ballots cast 920 · Back to ward index

The Rissingtons · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.6 pts Valid ballots 677

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	MacLean, A.	Green Party	383	56.6%	Elected
2	Trinder, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	294	43.4%

Electorate 1,974 · Ballots cast 677 · Back to ward index

Stratton · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.7 pts Valid ballots 910

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coleman, P.	Liberal Democrats	516	56.7%	Elected
2	Rixon, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	278	30.5%
3	Irving, B.	Green Party	85	9.3%
4	Strait, G.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	31	3.4%

Electorate 2,113 · Ballots cast 910 · Back to ward index

Kemble · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 1,169

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McKeown, M.	Liberal Democrats	665	56.9%	Elected
2	Berry, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	479	41.0%
3	Smith, C.	Independent	25	2.1%

Electorate 2,224 · Ballots cast 1,169 · Back to ward index

The Ampneys & Hampton · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.5 pts Valid ballots 1,068

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Spivey, L.	Liberal Democrats	614	57.5%	Elected
2	Goldstone, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	454	42.5%

Electorate 2,123 · Ballots cast 1,068 · Back to ward index

Stow · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.9 pts Valid ballots 753

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Neill, D.	Liberal Democrats	436	57.9%	Elected
2	Thorpe, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	290	38.5%
3	Wright, A.	Independent	27	3.6%

Electorate 2,037 · Ballots cast 753 · Back to ward index

Bourton Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.9 pts Valid ballots 850

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wilkins, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	518	60.9%	Elected
2	Fenton, G.	Liberal Democrats	262	30.8%
3	Eastoe, J.	Green Party	70	8.2%

Electorate 2,096 · Ballots cast 850 · Back to ward index

Grumbolds Ash with Avening · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.4 pts Valid ballots 795

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Slater, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	488	61.4%	Elected
2	Walker, J.	Liberal Democrats	307	38.6%

Electorate 1,934 · Ballots cast 795 · Back to ward index

Abbey · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.2 pts Valid ballots 810

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harris, M.	Liberal Democrats	504	62.2%	Elected
2	Tarleton, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	233	28.8%
3	Hughes, E.	Green Party	73	9.0%

Electorate 1,872 · Ballots cast 810 · Back to ward index

South Cerney Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.7 pts Valid ballots 755

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Layton, J.	Liberal Democrats	481	63.7%	Elected
2	Roffe, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	274	36.3%

Electorate 2,145 · Ballots cast 755 · Back to ward index

Chesterton · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.9 pts Valid ballots 623

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hughes, R.	Liberal Democrats	398	63.9%	Elected
2	Braidwood, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	155	24.9%
3	Poole, M.	Green Party	70	11.2%

Electorate 1,771 · Ballots cast 623 · Back to ward index

Chedworth & Churn Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.0 pts Valid ballots 900

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hodgkinson, P.	Liberal Democrats	576	64.0%	Elected
2	Parsons, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	324	36.0%

Electorate 1,868 · Ballots cast 900 · Back to ward index

Ermin · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.9 pts Valid ballots 895

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Judd, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	581	64.9%	Elected
2	Smith, E.	Liberal Democrats	314	35.1%

Electorate 2,082 · Ballots cast 895 · Back to ward index

Fosseridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.6 pts Valid ballots 858

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cunningham, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	563	65.6%	Elected
2	McGarel-Groves, A.	Liberal Democrats	295	34.4%

Electorate 2,078 · Ballots cast 858 · Back to ward index

Siddington & Cerney Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.9 pts Valid ballots 804

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evemy, M.	Liberal Democrats	530	65.9%	Elected
2	Davies, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	274	34.1%

Electorate 2,260 · Ballots cast 804 · Back to ward index

Four Acres · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.1 pts Valid ballots 598

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brassington, R.	Liberal Democrats	395	66.1%	Elected
2	Gibson, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	203	33.9%

Electorate 1,508 · Ballots cast 598 · Back to ward index

St Michael's · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.4 pts Valid ballots 748

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harris, J.	Liberal Democrats	512	68.4%	Elected
2	Vaughan, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	236	31.6%

Electorate 1,842 · Ballots cast 748 · Back to ward index

Watermoor · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.8 pts Valid ballots 639

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Selwyn, G.	Liberal Democrats	446	69.8%	Elected
2	Vaughan, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	193	30.2%

Electorate 2,002 · Ballots cast 639 · Back to ward index

New Mills · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.9 pts Valid ballots 524

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bloomer, C.	Liberal Democrats	382	72.9%	Elected
2	Hilditch, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	142	27.1%

Electorate 1,821 · Ballots cast 524 · Back to ward index

Tetbury East & Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 76.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.7 pts Valid ballots 828

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ind, N.	Independent	635	76.7%	Elected
2	Knight, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	193	23.3%

Electorate 2,063 · Ballots cast 828 · Back to ward index