← Cherwell (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Cherwell 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

16 ward races
16 seats
9 elected below the proportional quota
56.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party12,73533.9%318.8%637.5%-3
Labour Party9,64125.7%531.3%425.0%+1
Liberal Democrats9,49125.3%531.3%425.0%+1
Green Party4,16011.1%212.5%212.5%0
Independent1,4864.0%16.3%00.0%+1
Total37,513100.0%16100.0%16100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Bicester North & Caversfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,006

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lytton, S.Liberal Democrats79439.6%Elected
2Slaymaker, J.Conservative and Unionist Party67633.7%
3Bais, A.Labour Party53626.7%

Electorate 6,502 · Ballots cast 2,006 · Back to ward index

Bicester West · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,944

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Knight, H.Independent77740.0%Elected
2Thrupp, A.Conservative and Unionist Party47224.3%
3Howells, C.Labour Party39720.4%
4Chadwick, M.Liberal Democrats1889.7%
5Maguire, D.Green Party1105.7%

Electorate 6,559 · Ballots cast 1,944 · Back to ward index

Bicester East · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,026

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Beckett, T.Green Party84341.6%Elected
2Holland, S.Conservative and Unionist Party76737.9%
3Clements, J.Labour Party41620.5%

Electorate 6,377 · Ballots cast 2,026 · Back to ward index

Fringford & Heyfords · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,487

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Simpson, N.Conservative and Unionist Party1,04942.2%Elected
2Chivers, M.Liberal Democrats77431.1%
3Williams, A.Labour Party37315.0%
4Tamblyn, J.Green Party29111.7%

Electorate 7,179 · Ballots cast 2,487 · Back to ward index

Banbury Calthorpe & Easington · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,860

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Parsons, L.Labour Party1,21742.6%Elected
2Ahmed, F.Conservative and Unionist Party1,05536.9%
3Yeomans, D.Liberal Democrats2448.5%
4Middleton, J.Green Party2137.4%
5Brown, J.Independent1314.6%

Electorate 8,731 · Ballots cast 2,860 · Back to ward index

Deddington · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,923

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McHugh, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,28043.8%Elected
2Murphy, A.Labour Party79627.2%
3Hartley, J.Liberal Democrats54718.7%
4Newbery, L.Green Party30010.3%

Electorate 7,430 · Ballots cast 2,923 · Back to ward index

Cropredy Sibfords & Wroxton · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,780

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Webb, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,24744.9%Elected
2Huntley, X.Liberal Democrats85630.8%
3Tohill-Martin, S.Labour Party43915.8%
4Campbell, V.Green Party2388.6%

Electorate 6,967 · Ballots cast 2,780 · Back to ward index

Launton & Otmoor · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,487

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Nedelcu, J.Liberal Democrats1,12045.0%Elected
2Hughes, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,05242.3%
3Karslake, N.Labour Party31512.7%

Electorate 6,490 · Ballots cast 2,487 · Back to ward index

Banbury Hardwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,756

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Brasha, B.Labour Party80946.1%Elected
2Ilott, T.Conservative and Unionist Party71640.8%
3Maguire, A.Green Party23113.2%

Electorate 7,612 · Ballots cast 1,756 · Back to ward index

Adderbury Bloxham & Bodicote · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.6 pts Valid ballots 2,871

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pattenden, R.Liberal Democrats1,54053.6%Elected
2Bunn, D.Conservative and Unionist Party91331.8%
3Oldfield, H.Labour Party34512.0%
4Tucker, P.Independent732.5%

Electorate 7,604 · Ballots cast 2,871 · Back to ward index

Banbury Cross & Neithrop · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.6 pts Valid ballots 1,939

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Clarke, B.Labour Party1,05854.6%Elected
2Dongo Munoz, A.Conservative and Unionist Party44322.8%
3Ward, L.Green Party1598.2%
4Raisbeck, A.Liberal Democrats1417.3%
5Garrett, S.Independent804.1%
6Barrett, T.Independent583.0%

Electorate 7,461 · Ballots cast 1,939 · Back to ward index

Banbury Grimsbury & Hightown · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.6 pts Valid ballots 1,851

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Woodcock, S.Labour Party1,03055.6%Elected
2Ahmed, Z.Conservative and Unionist Party38921.0%
3Kwiatkowski, K.Green Party1759.5%
4Parker-Manuel, S.Liberal Democrats1437.7%
5Perry, C.Independent1146.2%

Electorate 7,110 · Ballots cast 1,851 · Back to ward index

Kidlington West · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.2 pts Valid ballots 2,509

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McLean, L.Liberal Democrats1,41056.2%Elected
2Hilliard, R.Conservative and Unionist Party80232.0%
3Bevington, M.Labour Party29711.8%

Electorate 6,983 · Ballots cast 2,509 · Back to ward index

Bicester South & Ambrosden · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.8 pts Valid ballots 2,921

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cotter, N.Liberal Democrats1,66056.8%Elected
2Omotayo, S.Conservative and Unionist Party80827.7%
3Nixon, R.Labour Party45315.5%

Electorate 9,948 · Ballots cast 2,921 · Back to ward index

Kidlington East · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.0 pts Valid ballots 2,642

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Middleton, I.Green Party1,50557.0%Elected
2Puffer, T.Conservative and Unionist Party67825.7%
3Richards, B.Labour Party27610.4%
4Brown, P.Independent1836.9%

Electorate 7,036 · Ballots cast 2,642 · Back to ward index

Banbury Ruscote · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.5 pts Valid ballots 1,511

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Creed, I.Labour Party88458.5%Elected
2Strangwood, J.Conservative and Unionist Party38825.7%
3Broom, C.Green Party956.3%
4Petterson, M.Liberal Democrats744.9%
5Battison, J.Independent704.6%

Electorate 7,124 · Ballots cast 1,511 · Back to ward index