← Cherwell (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Cherwell 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

30 ward races

30 seats

11 elected below the proportional quota

36.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 30 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 30 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	41,264	48.1%	20	66.7%	15	50.0%	+5
Labour Party	19,579	22.8%	5	16.7%	7	23.3%	-2
Liberal Democrats	13,195	15.4%	2	6.7%	4	13.3%	-2
Green Party	8,220	9.6%	1	3.3%	3	10.0%	-2
Independent	3,473	4.0%	2	6.7%	1	3.3%	+1
Reform UK	107	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	85,838	100.0%	30	100.0%	30	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Bicester South & Ambrosden · 1 seat · won at 42.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
Banbury Hardwick · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Banbury Cross & Neithrop · 1 seat · won at 45.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
Otmoor · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · +3.9 pts below quota
Kirtlington & Kidlington North · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · +2.9 pts below quota
Banbury Hardwick · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · +2.5 pts below quota
Kidlington South · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · +2.1 pts below quota
Banbury Calthorpe · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Banbury Grimsbury & Hightown · 1 seat · won at 48.2% · +1.8 pts below quota
Bicester East · 1 seat · won at 49.0% · +1.0 pts below quota
Launton & Otmoor · 1 seat · won at 49.8% · +0.2 pts below quota
Kidlington West · 1 seat · won at 50.2% · above quota
Kidlington East · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Banbury Grimsbury & Castle · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
Bicester West · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
Banbury Ruscote · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
Adderbury Bloxham & Bodicote · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
Bicester North & Caversfield · 1 seat · won at 52.7% · above quota
Bicester North · 1 seat · won at 52.9% · above quota
Bicester Town · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
Deddington · 1 seat · won at 55.4% · above quota
Banbury Ruscote · 1 seat · won at 55.7% · above quota
Banbury Calthorpe & Easington · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
Bloxham & Easington · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
Deddington · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
Fringford & Heyfords · 1 seat · won at 60.1% · above quota
Wroxton & Hook Norton · 1 seat · won at 62.7% · above quota
Bicester West · 1 seat · won at 63.2% · above quota
Ploughley · 1 seat · won at 65.3% · above quota
Cropredy Sibfords & Wroxton · 1 seat · won at 65.3% · above quota

Race results

Bicester South & Ambrosden · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,202

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sames D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,374	42.9%	Elected
2	Decombel S.	Liberal Democrats	1,312	41.0%
3	Clements J.L.	Labour Party	516	16.1%

Electorate 8,956 · Ballots cast 3,202 · EC ward code E05012968 · Back to ward index

Banbury Hardwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,677

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ilott T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,200	44.8%	Elected
2	Biegel R.L.C.	Labour Party	1,089	40.7%
3	Manley C.J.	Green Party	206	7.7%
4	Hartley J.H.D.	Liberal Democrats	112	4.2%
5	Hartley S.C.	Reform UK	70	2.6%

Electorate 8,757 · Ballots cast 2,677 · EC ward code E58001728 · Back to ward index

Banbury Cross & Neithrop · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,464

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hodgson M.	Labour Party	1,114	45.2%	Elected
2	Ahmed F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	941	38.2%
3	Ward L.C.	Green Party	293	11.9%
4	Pattenden R.	Liberal Democrats	116	4.7%

Electorate 7,329 · Ballots cast 2,464 · EC ward code E05010921 · Back to ward index

Otmoor · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,627

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Miller C.A.	Liberal Democrats	1,673	46.1%	Elected
2	Sames D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,553	42.8%
3	Clements J.L.	Labour Party	401	11.1%

Electorate 8,894 · Ballots cast 3,627 · EC ward code E58001763 · Back to ward index

Kirtlington & Kidlington North · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,057

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Simpson N.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,909	47.1%	Elected
2	Tyson K.T.	Liberal Democrats	1,650	40.7%
3	Stott M.A.	Labour Party	498	12.3%

Electorate 8,992 · Ballots cast 4,057 · EC ward code E58001261 · Back to ward index

Banbury Hardwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,064

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Donaldson J.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	981	47.5%	Elected
2	Garrett S.Z.	Labour Party	692	33.5%
3	Westwood B.	Independent	155	7.5%
4	Manley C.J.	Green Party	133	6.4%
5	Hartley J.H.D.	Liberal Democrats	66	3.2%
6	Hartley S.C.	Reform UK	37	1.8%

Electorate 7,124 · Ballots cast 2,064 · EC ward code E05010923 · Back to ward index

Kidlington South · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,275

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Middleton I.M.	Green Party	1,570	47.9%	Elected
2	Billington M.V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,284	39.2%
3	Arakelian C.I.	Labour Party	421	12.9%

Electorate 7,693 · Ballots cast 3,275 · EC ward code E58001259 · Back to ward index

Banbury Calthorpe · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,740

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reeves E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,316	48.0%	Elected
2	Woodcock S.L.	Labour Party	887	32.4%
3	Middleton J.E.	Green Party	366	13.4%
4	Pattenden R.	Liberal Democrats	171	6.2%

Electorate 7,403 · Ballots cast 2,740 · EC ward code E58001225 · Back to ward index

Banbury Grimsbury & Hightown · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,264

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Beere A.G.	Labour Party	1,091	48.2%	Elected
2	Beverly D.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	797	35.2%
3	Bliss A.J.	Green Party	243	10.7%
4	Yeomans D.T.	Liberal Democrats	133	5.9%

Electorate 7,044 · Ballots cast 2,264 · EC ward code E05010922 · Back to ward index

Bicester East · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,315

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dallimore S.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,134	49.0%	Elected
2	Maguire P.D.	Green Party	537	23.2%
3	Holder G.R.J.	Labour Party	443	19.1%
4	Peckham A.R.	Independent	201	8.7%

Electorate 6,311 · Ballots cast 2,315 · EC ward code E05010925 · Back to ward index

Launton & Otmoor · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,828

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holland S.P.T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,407	49.8%	Elected
2	Miller C.A.	Liberal Democrats	1,016	35.9%
3	Howells J.C.	Labour Party	405	14.3%

Electorate 6,398 · Ballots cast 2,828 · EC ward code E05010934 · Back to ward index

Kidlington West · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.2 pts Valid ballots 3,262

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Walker D.	Liberal Democrats	1,638	50.2%	Elected
2	Kingsley H.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,255	38.5%
3	Lowe E.D.	Labour Party	369	11.3%

Electorate 7,080 · Ballots cast 3,262 · EC ward code E05010933 · Back to ward index

Kidlington East · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 3,016

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Billington M.V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,524	50.5%	Elected
2	Mawson F.V.	Green Party	1,042	34.5%
3	Arakelian C.I.	Labour Party	450	14.9%

Electorate 7,169 · Ballots cast 3,016 · EC ward code E05010932 · Back to ward index

Banbury Grimsbury & Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 2,418

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Banfield H.L.	Labour Party	1,239	51.2%	Elected
2	Beverly D.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	820	33.9%
3	Bliss A.J.	Green Party	217	9.0%
4	Yeomans D.T.	Liberal Democrats	142	5.9%

Electorate 8,360 · Ballots cast 2,418 · EC ward code E58001226 · Back to ward index

Bicester West · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 2,844

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sibley L.	Independent	1,468	51.6%	Elected
2	Signh S.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	706	24.8%
3	Kavuma C.H.	Labour Party	430	15.1%
4	Pruden C.	Liberal Democrats	240	8.4%

Electorate 8,121 · Ballots cast 2,844 · EC ward code E58001234 · Back to ward index

Banbury Ruscote · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 1,834

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cherry M.D.	Labour Party	947	51.6%	Elected
2	Strangwood J.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	676	36.9%
3	Broom C.L.M.	Green Party	132	7.2%
4	Buckwell S.	Liberal Democrats	79	4.3%

Electorate 6,928 · Ballots cast 1,834 · EC ward code E05010924 · Back to ward index

Adderbury Bloxham & Bodicote · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.9 pts Valid ballots 2,912

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nell A.E.O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,512	51.9%	Elected
2	Hingley D.R.	Liberal Democrats	878	30.2%
3	Watson B.N.A.	Labour Party	522	17.9%

Electorate 7,477 · Ballots cast 2,912 · EC ward code E05011348 · Back to ward index

Bicester North & Caversfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 2,103

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pratt L.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,108	52.7%	Elected
2	Roscoe S.G.	Labour Party	435	20.7%
3	Bevillard C.	Green Party	302	14.4%
4	Lytton S.H.	Liberal Democrats	258	12.3%

Electorate 6,459 · Ballots cast 2,103 · EC ward code E05010926 · Back to ward index

Bicester North · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.9 pts Valid ballots 2,529

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ford D.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,339	52.9%	Elected
2	Roscoe S.G.	Labour Party	508	20.1%
3	Kwiatkowski K.M.K.	Green Party	349	13.8%
4	Lytton S.H.	Liberal Democrats	333	13.2%

Electorate 7,653 · Ballots cast 2,529 · EC ward code E58001232 · Back to ward index

Bicester Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.9 pts Valid ballots 2,547

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Waine M.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,399	54.9%	Elected
2	Maguire P.D.	Green Party	653	25.6%
3	Holder G.R.J.	Labour Party	495	19.4%

Electorate 6,940 · Ballots cast 2,547 · EC ward code E58001233 · Back to ward index

Deddington · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.4 pts Valid ballots 4,009

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fatemian A.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,221	55.4%	Elected
2	Hingley D.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,078	26.9%
3	Watkins A.J.	Labour Party	710	17.7%

Electorate 9,625 · Ballots cast 4,009 · EC ward code E58001733 · Back to ward index

Banbury Ruscote · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 2,101

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cherry M.D.	Labour Party	1,171	55.7%	Elected
2	Strangwood J.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	797	37.9%
3	Buckwell S.	Liberal Democrats	133	6.3%

Electorate 7,646 · Ballots cast 2,101 · EC ward code E58001729 · Back to ward index

Banbury Calthorpe & Easington · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 3,207

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mallon K.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,792	55.9%	Elected
2	Kokot A.L.	Labour Party	754	23.5%
3	Middleton J.E.	Green Party	350	10.9%
4	Haeger A.	Liberal Democrats	204	6.4%
5	Brown J.J.	Independent	107	3.3%

Electorate 8,407 · Ballots cast 3,207 · EC ward code E05011349 · Back to ward index

Bloxham & Easington · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.6 pts Valid ballots 3,030

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mallon K.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,744	57.6%	Elected
2	Watson B.N.A.	Labour Party	563	18.6%
3	David N.G.	Liberal Democrats	376	12.4%
4	Mawson F.V.	Green Party	347	11.5%

Electorate 7,769 · Ballots cast 3,030 · EC ward code E58001731 · Back to ward index

Deddington · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.6 pts Valid ballots 3,221

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,855	57.6%	Elected
2	Davis N.G.	Liberal Democrats	686	21.3%
3	Watkins A.J.	Labour Party	680	21.1%

Electorate 7,647 · Ballots cast 3,221 · EC ward code E05010930 · Back to ward index

Fringford & Heyfords · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.1 pts Valid ballots 2,765

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarke P.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,662	60.1%	Elected
2	Tamblyn J.	Green Party	673	24.3%
3	Howells C.	Labour Party	430	15.6%

Electorate 6,927 · Ballots cast 2,765 · EC ward code E05012969 · Back to ward index

Wroxton & Hook Norton · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.7 pts Valid ballots 3,988

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reynolds G.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,499	62.7%	Elected
2	Cullen A.F.	Labour Party	949	23.8%
3	Woodward J.	Liberal Democrats	540	13.5%

Electorate 8,953 · Ballots cast 3,988 · EC ward code E58001747 · Back to ward index

Bicester West · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.2 pts Valid ballots 2,438

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sibley L.	Independent	1,542	63.2%	Elected
2	Singh S.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	473	19.4%
3	Kavuma C.H.	Labour Party	317	13.0%
4	Pruden C.	Liberal Democrats	106	4.3%

Electorate 6,686 · Ballots cast 2,438 · EC ward code E05010928 · Back to ward index

Ploughley · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.3 pts Valid ballots 3,048

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Corkin I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,991	65.3%	Elected
2	Howells J.C.	Labour Party	439	14.4%
3	MacEwan F.	Green Party	363	11.9%
4	Wheatley P.	Liberal Democrats	255	8.4%

Electorate 7,693 · Ballots cast 3,048 · EC ward code E58001764 · Back to ward index

Cropredy Sibfords & Wroxton · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.3 pts Valid ballots 3,053

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reynolds G.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,995	65.3%	Elected
2	Cullen A.F.	Labour Party	614	20.1%
3	Kwiatkowski K.M.K.	Green Party	444	14.5%

Electorate 6,737 · Ballots cast 3,053 · EC ward code E05010929 · Back to ward index