← Ceredigion (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Ceredigion 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

29 ward races

33 seats

10 elected below the proportional quota

30.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 29 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 33 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
PC	13,028	47.2%	19	57.6%	17	51.5%	+2
Independent	8,026	29.1%	7	21.2%	10	30.3%	-3
Liberal Democrats	3,898	14.1%	6	18.2%	5	15.2%	+1
Labour Party	1,405	5.1%	0	0.0%	1	3.0%	-1
Green Party	709	2.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
GWLAD	290	1.0%	1	3.0%	0	0.0%	+1
Conservative and Unionist Party	204	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
ND	68	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	27,628	100.0%	33	100.0%	33	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Aberystwyth Rheidol · 1 seat · won at 33.8% · +16.2 pts below quota
Lledrod · 1 seat · won at 36.5% · +13.5 pts below quota
Llanrhystyd · 1 seat · won at 39.8% · +10.2 pts below quota
Aberystwyth Morfa a Glais · 2 seats · won at 23.2% · +10.2 pts below quota
Aberystwyth Penparcau · 2 seats · won at 23.4% · +9.9 pts below quota
Borth · 1 seat · won at 42.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
Llandysul North & Troedyraur · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · +3.7 pts below quota
Teifi · 1 seat · won at 47.0% · +3.0 pts below quota
Llangybi · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Llanfihangel Ystrad · 1 seat · won at 50.2% · above quota
Faenor · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Beulah & Llangoedmor · 2 seats · won at 36.0% · above quota
Trefeurig · 1 seat · won at 52.7% · above quota
Llansanffraid · 1 seat · won at 54.1% · above quota
New Quay & Llanllwchaearn · 1 seat · won at 54.1% · above quota
Aberporth & Y Ferwig · 2 seats · won at 38.3% · above quota
Llandysul South · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Ystwyth · 1 seat · won at 59.0% · above quota
Ceulan A Maesmawr · 1 seat · won at 59.7% · above quota
Mwldan · 1 seat · won at 61.7% · above quota
Llanarth · 1 seat · won at 64.0% · above quota
Ciliau Aeron · 1 seat · won at 65.0% · above quota
Llanwenog · 1 seat · won at 67.9% · above quota
Llanfarian · 1 seat · won at 68.1% · above quota
Tregaron & Ystrad Fflur · 1 seat · won at 70.2% · above quota
Llanbadarn Fawr · 1 seat · won at 77.7% · above quota
Aberaeron & Aberarth · 1 seat · won at 83.2% · above quota
Melindwr · 1 seat · won at 87.0% · above quota
Penbryn · 1 seat · won at 87.5% · above quota

Race results

Aberystwyth Rheidol · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 674

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Edwards E.	PC	228	33.8%	Elected
2	Benjamin M.	Liberal Democrats	172	25.5%
3	Norman M.	Labour Party	162	24.0%
4	Shewring M.	Independent	112	16.6%

Electorate 1,845 · Ballots cast 674 · EC ward code W05001302 · Back to ward index

Lledrod · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 704

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evans W.	Independent	257	36.5%	Elected
2	Benjamin A.	Independent	239	33.9%
3	Shaw A.	PC	208	29.5%

Electorate 1,248 · Ballots cast 704 · EC ward code W05001322 · Back to ward index

Llanrhystyd · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 729

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evans G.	GWLAD	290	39.8%	Elected
2	Bird K.	Liberal Democrats	194	26.6%
3	Inshaw D.	Independent	181	24.8%
4	Hayfield H.	Green Party	64	8.8%

Electorate 1,273 · Ballots cast 729 · EC ward code W05001319 · Back to ward index

Aberystwyth Morfa a Glais · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,507

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams A.	PC	720	28.7%	Elected
2	Strong M.	PC	581	23.2%	Elected
3	Edwards I.	Liberal Democrats	307	12.2%
4	Peasley C.	Green Party	193	7.7%
5	Cook J.	Labour Party	191	7.6%
6	Lewis-Rowlands D.	Labour Party	165	6.6%
7	Thomas J.	Liberal Democrats	146	5.8%
8	Hall S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	103	4.1%
9	Lawry E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	101	4.0%

Electorate 3,908 · Ballots cast 2,507 · EC ward code W05001300 · Back to ward index

Aberystwyth Penparcau · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,445

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Worrall C.	PC	515	35.6%	Elected
2	Davies S.	PC	338	23.4%	Elected
3	Mangold A.	Labour Party	308	21.3%
4	Edwards L.	Independent	157	10.9%
5	Lees D.	Liberal Democrats	127	8.8%

Electorate 2,180 · Ballots cast 1,445 · EC ward code W05001301 · Back to ward index

Borth · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 892

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hughes H.	Independent	378	42.4%	Elected
2	Salmon N.	Green Party	277	31.1%
3	Quant R.	Independent	237	26.6%

Electorate 1,700 · Ballots cast 892 · EC ward code W05001304 · Back to ward index

Llandysul North & Troedyraur · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 931

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lewis M.	PC	431	46.3%	Elected
2	Thomas I.	Independent	426	45.8%
3	Mitchell B.	Green Party	74	7.9%

Electorate 1,854 · Ballots cast 931 · EC ward code W05001313 · Back to ward index

Teifi · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 702

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evans E.	Liberal Democrats	330	47.0%	Elected
2	Miles C.	PC	284	40.5%
3	Pope J.	Labour Party	88	12.5%

Electorate 1,458 · Ballots cast 702 · EC ward code W05001327 · Back to ward index

Llangybi · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 638

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evans E.	PC	309	48.4%	Elected
2	Morgan J.	Independent	170	26.6%
3	Mulholland D.	Labour Party	159	24.9%

Electorate 1,208 · Ballots cast 638 · EC ward code W05001318 · Back to ward index

Llanfihangel Ystrad · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.2 pts Valid ballots 865

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jones C.	PC	434	50.2%	Elected
2	Evans G.	Independent	431	49.8%

Electorate 1,714 · Ballots cast 865 · EC ward code W05001316 · Back to ward index

Faenor · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 754

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts J.	Liberal Democrats	381	50.5%	Elected
2	Mabbutt E.	PC	298	39.5%
3	Kelly G.	Labour Party	75	9.9%

Electorate 1,967 · Ballots cast 754 · EC ward code W05001307 · Back to ward index

Beulah & Llangoedmor · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 2,107

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Edwards A.	PC	804	38.2%	Elected
2	James C.	PC	759	36.0%	Elected
3	James G.	Independent	287	13.6%
4	Culley J.	Labour Party	257	12.2%

Electorate 2,388 · Ballots cast 2,107 · EC ward code W05001303 · Back to ward index

Trefeurig · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 812

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roberts C.	PC	428	52.7%	Elected
2	Mason D.	Independent	384	47.3%

Electorate 1,476 · Ballots cast 812 · EC ward code W05001329 · Back to ward index

Llansanffraid · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.1 pts Valid ballots 825

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Henson K.	PC	446	54.1%	Elected
2	Edwards D.	Independent	379	45.9%

Electorate 1,636 · Ballots cast 825 · EC ward code W05001320 · Back to ward index

New Quay & Llanllwchaearn · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.1 pts Valid ballots 891

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vaux M.	PC	482	54.1%	Elected
2	Potter D.	Independent	409	45.9%

Electorate 1,624 · Ballots cast 891 · EC ward code W05001325 · Back to ward index

Aberporth & Y Ferwig · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.0 pts Valid ballots 2,068

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies C.	PC	824	39.8%	Elected
2	Davies G.	PC	793	38.3%	Elected
3	Lewis S.	Independent	451	21.8%

Electorate 2,809 · Ballots cast 2,068 · EC ward code W05001299 · Back to ward index

Llandysul South · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 821

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evans K.	Independent	478	58.2%	Elected
2	Adams M.	PC	343	41.8%

Electorate 1,526 · Ballots cast 821 · EC ward code W05001314 · Back to ward index

Ystwyth · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.0 pts Valid ballots 848

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies M.	Liberal Democrats	500	59.0%	Elected
2	Ferguson K.	PC	348	41.0%

Electorate 1,707 · Ballots cast 848 · EC ward code W05001331 · Back to ward index

Ceulan A Maesmawr · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.7 pts Valid ballots 857

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies C.	PC	512	59.7%	Elected
2	Lewis D.	Independent	345	40.3%

Electorate 1,573 · Ballots cast 857 · EC ward code W05001305 · Back to ward index

Mwldan · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.7 pts Valid ballots 715

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Maehrlein S.	Liberal Democrats	441	61.7%	Elected
2	Jones R.	PC	274	38.3%

Electorate 1,564 · Ballots cast 715 · EC ward code W05001324 · Back to ward index

Llanarth · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.0 pts Valid ballots 583

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies B.	PC	373	64.0%	Elected
2	Hughes A.	Independent	210	36.0%

Electorate 1,253 · Ballots cast 583 · EC ward code W05001309 · Back to ward index

Ciliau Aeron · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.0 pts Valid ballots 932

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies M.	Independent	606	65.0%	Elected
2	Thomas I.	PC	326	35.0%

Electorate 1,643 · Ballots cast 932 · EC ward code W05001306 · Back to ward index

Llanwenog · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.9 pts Valid ballots 741

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies E.	Independent	503	67.9%	Elected
2	Jones R.	PC	238	32.1%

Electorate 1,462 · Ballots cast 741 · EC ward code W05001321 · Back to ward index

Llanfarian · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.1 pts Valid ballots 770

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hughes G.	Liberal Democrats	524	68.1%	Elected
2	Warburton S.	PC	246	31.9%

Electorate 1,264 · Ballots cast 770 · EC ward code W05001315 · Back to ward index

Tregaron & Ystrad Fflur · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.2 pts Valid ballots 985

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies I.	Independent	691	70.2%	Elected
2	Hughes C.	PC	294	29.8%

Electorate 1,557 · Ballots cast 985 · EC ward code W05001330 · Back to ward index

Llanbadarn Fawr · single-seat

Marginal winner 77.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −27.7 pts Valid ballots 667

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies G.	PC	518	77.7%	Elected
2	Arathoon J.	Independent	75	11.2%
3	Rutty J.	Liberal Democrats	74	11.1%

Electorate 1,782 · Ballots cast 667 · EC ward code W05001310 · Back to ward index

Aberaeron & Aberarth · single-seat

Marginal winner 83.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −33.2 pts Valid ballots 844

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Evans E.	Liberal Democrats	702	83.2%	Elected
2	Lloyd P.	Independent	142	16.8%

Electorate 1,427 · Ballots cast 844 · EC ward code W05001298 · Back to ward index

Melindwr · single-seat

Marginal winner 87.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −37.0 pts Valid ballots 775

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davies R.	PC	674	87.0%	Elected
2	Simpson C.	Green Party	101	13.0%

Electorate 1,627 · Ballots cast 775 · EC ward code W05001323 · Back to ward index

Penbryn · single-seat

Marginal winner 87.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −37.5 pts Valid ballots 546

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	James G.	Independent	478	87.5%	Elected
2	Rayson J.	ND	68	12.5%

Electorate 1,110 · Ballots cast 546 · EC ward code W05001326 · Back to ward index