← Central Bedfordshire (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Central Bedfordshire 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

31 ward races
63 seats
55 elected below the proportional quota
87.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 31 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 63 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Independent45,82229.5%2742.9%1930.2%+8
Conservative and Unionist Party44,79028.8%2031.7%1828.6%+2
Labour Party33,34721.4%57.9%1422.2%-9
Liberal Democrats24,01315.4%1015.9%1015.9%0
Green Party6,5724.2%11.6%23.2%-1
Reform UK9000.6%00.0%00.0%0
ENG DEM1330.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total155,577100.0%63100.0%63100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Dunstable South · single-seat

Marginal winner 30.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +19.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 950

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Crawley, P.Conservative and Unionist Party29030.5%Elected
2Kotarski, N.Independent28830.3%
3Kimondo, S.Labour Party26628.0%
4Larkmam, P.Liberal Democrats10611.2%

Electorate 3,572 · Ballots cast 950 · Back to ward index

Dunstable East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +18.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,823

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gurney, J.Independent71618.7%Elected
2Gurney, K.Independent56514.8%Elected
3Martin, G.Conservative and Unionist Party53614.0%
4Russell, G.Labour Party49012.8%
5Kottadan, S.Labour Party47312.4%
6Patel, J.Conservative and Unionist Party39310.3%
7O'Riordan, L.Independent3168.3%
8Hunt, R.Liberal Democrats1804.7%
9Egan, R.Liberal Democrats1544.0%

Electorate 7,559 · Ballots cast 3,823 · Back to ward index

Toddington · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +17.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,420

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Walsh, M.Independent1,41832.1%Elected
2Purser, G.Conservative and Unionist Party71616.2%Elected
3Winslet, S.Green Party61814.0%
4Akhter, S.Conservative and Unionist Party56212.7%
5Herod, M.Labour Party46710.6%
6Owen, C.Labour Party3267.4%
7Roberts, M.Liberal Democrats3137.1%

Electorate 7,433 · Ballots cast 4,420 · Back to ward index

Houghton Regis West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +17.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,411

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Goodchild, S.Liberal Democrats49820.7%Elected
2Farrell, Y.Liberal Democrats39216.3%Elected
3Bater, W.Labour Party34114.1%
4Butler, A.Labour Party29212.1%
5Krupski, O.Conservative and Unionist Party2289.5%
6Carroll, J.Independent1907.9%
7Herber, M.Independent1857.7%
8Nnadozie, V.Conservative and Unionist Party1827.5%
9Aganoglu, C.Green Party1034.3%

Electorate 6,260 · Ballots cast 2,411 · Back to ward index

Dunstable North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +16.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,050

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Brennan, M.Labour Party64721.2%Elected
2Neall, M.Labour Party52417.2%Elected
3Tamara, J.Conservative and Unionist Party49216.1%
4Kane, J.Conservative and Unionist Party46915.4%
5Coleman, B.Independent38112.5%
6Corkhill, A.Independent2618.6%
7Hundal, P.Green Party1103.6%
8Morgan, E.Liberal Democrats1033.4%
9Wattingham, K.Liberal Democrats632.1%

Electorate 7,206 · Ballots cast 3,050 · Back to ward index

Biggleswade East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +16.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,916

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Tranter, G.Independent76919.6%Elected
2Fage, G.Conservative and Unionist Party67617.3%Elected
3Foster, M.Conservative and Unionist Party65916.8%
4Skilton, A.Labour Party65816.8%
5Smy, M.Independent51313.1%
6Tookey, G.Labour Party42810.9%
7Nelson, A.Green Party1403.6%
8Holland-Lindsay, J.Liberal Democrats731.9%

Electorate 6,300 · Ballots cast 3,916 · Back to ward index

Stotfold · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +15.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,177

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Woodfine, K.Independent1,34832.3%Elected
2Wightwick, H.Labour Party74317.8%Elected
3Dixon, S.Conservative and Unionist Party60414.5%
4Dhaliwal, S.Labour Party56913.6%
5Richardson, J.Conservative and Unionist Party52712.6%
6McGann, R.Liberal Democrats3869.2%

Electorate 7,181 · Ballots cast 4,177 · Back to ward index

Arlesey & Fairfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +15.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,992

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Chillery, J.Independent89522.4%Elected
2Andrews, N.Labour Party72418.1%Elected
3Stevenson, N.Liberal Democrats62015.5%
4Brown, J.Conservative and Unionist Party45811.5%
5Dalgarno, I.Conservative and Unionist Party43410.9%
6Fox, T.Labour Party43110.8%
7Harris, N.Independent43010.8%

Electorate 6,771 · Ballots cast 3,992 · Back to ward index

Dunstable West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +14.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,282

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ghent, E.Conservative and Unionist Party89320.9%Elected
2Young, N.Conservative and Unionist Party81919.1%Elected
3Attwell, R.Independent69716.3%
4Pepworth, R.Labour Party52612.3%
5Crooks, P.Labour Party46210.8%
6Morrison, K.Independent43910.3%
7Owen, E.Liberal Democrats2515.9%
8Witherick, I.Liberal Democrats1954.6%

Electorate 7,211 · Ballots cast 4,282 · Back to ward index

Cranfield & Marston Moretaine · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 10.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +14.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,110

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Clark, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,40615.4%Elected
2Bongo, S.Independent1,31214.4%Elected
3Morris, R.Conservative and Unionist Party98410.8%Elected
4Victor, A.Independent92510.2%
5Dalal, B.Conservative and Unionist Party8889.7%
6Rooney, E.Labour Party7678.4%
7O'Dell, K.Labour Party6957.6%
8Durojaiye, J.Labour Party5816.4%
9Tyrtania, A.Green Party5075.6%
10Clough, G.Independent4444.9%
11Taylor, J.Liberal Democrats4254.7%
12MacLean, N.Reform UK1761.9%

Electorate 11,584 · Ballots cast 9,110 · Back to ward index

Flitwick · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 11.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,296

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mackey, G.Independent2,24821.8%Elected
2Townsend, H.Independent1,78517.3%Elected
3Adams, I.Conservative and Unionist Party1,13811.1%Elected
4Bunyan, N.Conservative and Unionist Party1,09010.6%
5Parsons, T.Conservative and Unionist Party8548.3%
6Yates, C.Labour Party6986.8%
7London, N.Labour Party4934.8%
8Dudas, K.Labour Party4694.6%
9Roberts, K.Green Party4294.2%
10Harley, R.Green Party2922.8%
11Milne, L.Green Party2522.4%
12Kidd, A.Liberal Democrats2092.0%
13Shaw, R.Reform UK1921.9%
14White, A.Liberal Democrats1471.4%

Electorate 10,535 · Ballots cast 10,296 · Back to ward index

Caddington · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,304

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Malone, V.Independent1,39426.3%Elected
2Collins, K.Conservative and Unionist Party1,04319.7%Elected
3Stott, M.Conservative and Unionist Party71913.6%
4Waller, J.Independent65112.3%
5Smith, S.Labour Party4217.9%
6Dinsdale, M.Labour Party3336.3%
7Russell, M.Green Party3095.8%
8Goss, E.Liberal Democrats2895.4%
9Thorne, S.Liberal Democrats1452.7%

Electorate 7,706 · Ballots cast 5,304 · Back to ward index

Dunstable Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,011

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hegley, C.Conservative and Unionist Party36836.4%Elected
2Alderman, G.Labour Party35134.7%
3Palmer, A.Independent22121.9%
4Jones, D.Liberal Democrats717.0%

Electorate 3,641 · Ballots cast 1,011 · Back to ward index

Houghton Regis East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 11.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,843

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hamill, P.Independent73015.1%Elected
2McMahon, T.Independent61912.8%Elected
3Alderman, C.Labour Party56311.6%Elected
4Green, A.Labour Party4669.6%
5Russell, S.Labour Party4639.6%
6Cooper, J.Independent4349.0%
7Ellaway, L.Liberal Democrats3667.6%
8Taylor, D.Liberal Democrats3457.1%
9Rolfe, M.Liberal Democrats2966.1%
10Daly, N.Conservative and Unionist Party2394.9%
11Warren, N.Conservative and Unionist Party2014.2%
12Patrick, G.Green Party1212.5%

Electorate 8,343 · Ballots cast 4,843 · Back to ward index

Ampthill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 11.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,212

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Smith, M.Independent1,92317.2%Elected
2Summerfield, G.Independent1,51313.5%Elected
3Clinch, S.Green Party1,33011.9%Elected
4Blair, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,26811.3%
5Addy, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,19710.7%
6Duckett, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,0929.7%
7Jones, J.Green Party9068.1%
8Brown, C.Liberal Democrats5725.1%
9Chinnery, L.Labour Party4854.3%
10Worley, A.Labour Party4363.9%
11Short, D.Labour Party3413.0%
12Moriondo, M.Reform UK1491.3%

Electorate 10,888 · Ballots cast 11,212 · Back to ward index

Barton-le-Clay & Silsoe · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,345

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1French, A.Independent88220.3%Elected
2Childs, L.Independent87920.2%Elected
3Irwin, J.Conservative and Unionist Party59613.7%
4Byng, A.Conservative and Unionist Party57313.2%
5Paxton, J.Liberal Democrats4039.3%
6Widdowfield, G.Labour Party3768.7%
7Lupata, S.Labour Party3407.8%
8Martin, P.Liberal Democrats1994.6%
9Ellis, M.Reform UK972.2%

Electorate 6,314 · Ballots cast 4,345 · Back to ward index

Sandy · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 12.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,163

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ford, S.Independent2,12423.2%Elected
2Bell, S.Independent1,32514.5%Elected
3Pashby, R.Independent1,12412.3%Elected
4Maudlin, C.Conservative and Unionist Party1,01811.1%
5Aldis, N.Liberal Democrats8319.1%
6Hewitt, J.Conservative and Unionist Party8028.8%
7Gilling, M.Conservative and Unionist Party5896.4%
8King, A.Labour Party5866.4%
9Mott, W.Labour Party4254.6%
10Yardley, M.Labour Party3393.7%

Electorate 9,971 · Ballots cast 9,163 · Back to ward index

Leighton-Linslade North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 12.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,392

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bligh, D.Liberal Democrats1,28513.7%Elected
2Pughe, K.Liberal Democrats1,27113.5%Elected
3Carnell, N.Liberal Democrats1,20012.8%Elected
4Bishop, M.Labour Party97610.4%
5Jones, S.Conservative and Unionist Party95610.2%
6Carberry, P.Labour Party9209.8%
7Morris, T.Conservative and Unionist Party9119.7%
8Woodman, J.Labour Party8769.3%
9Wallace, E.Conservative and Unionist Party8649.2%
10Vitiello, A.ENG DEM1331.4%

Electorate 10,941 · Ballots cast 9,392 · Back to ward index

Leighton-Linslade West · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,233

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Harvey, V.Independent1,78615.9%Elected
2Owen, S.Liberal Democrats1,75615.6%Elected
3Goodchild, R.Liberal Democrats1,58314.1%Elected
4Worrall, J.Liberal Democrats1,0219.1%
5Gallie, J.Conservative and Unionist Party9428.4%
6Bowles, B.Labour Party9398.4%
7Roan, K.Labour Party8887.9%
8Fahn, A.Conservative and Unionist Party8627.7%
9McBain, B.Labour Party8387.5%
10Battams, R.Independent6185.5%

Electorate 10,486 · Ballots cast 11,233 · Back to ward index

Biggleswade West · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,371

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Whitaker, H.Independent2,19223.4%Elected
2Watkins, S.Independent1,58116.9%Elected
3How, P.Independent1,32514.1%Elected
4Vaughan, J.Labour Party7397.9%
5Burgin, P.Labour Party6987.4%
6Ashton, N.Labour Party6987.4%
7Russell, M.Conservative and Unionist Party6927.4%
8Bond, I.Conservative and Unionist Party6787.2%
9Patel, S.Conservative and Unionist Party5896.3%
10Godfrey, T.Liberal Democrats1791.9%

Electorate 10,195 · Ballots cast 9,371 · Back to ward index

Shefford · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,639

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Liddiard, M.Conservative and Unionist Party91825.2%Elected
2Brown, T.Conservative and Unionist Party90724.9%Elected
3Risbridger, J.Labour Party75220.7%
4Tizard, J.Labour Party74720.5%
5Moore, J.Liberal Democrats3158.7%

Electorate 6,595 · Ballots cast 3,639 · Back to ward index

Clifton, Henlow & Langford · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 9,477

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Richardson, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,68017.7%Elected
2Shelvey, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,66717.6%Elected
3Wenham, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,58916.8%Elected
4Abbott, L.Labour Party1,27013.4%
5O'Daly, K.Labour Party1,00110.6%
6Patel, V.Labour Party8819.3%
7Fuller, L.Green Party7427.8%
8Mann, D.Liberal Democrats6476.8%

Electorate 11,203 · Ballots cast 9,477 · Back to ward index

Leighton-Linslade South · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 11,088

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Holland-Lindsay, E.Liberal Democrats2,35521.2%Elected
2Leaman, C.Liberal Democrats2,21119.9%Elected
3Roberts, S.Liberal Democrats2,14619.4%Elected
4Dodwell, A.Conservative and Unionist Party6966.3%
5Berry, R.Conservative and Unionist Party6525.9%
6Marsden, G.Labour Party5775.2%
7Bjelobaba, B.Conservative and Unionist Party5665.1%
8Betts, C.Labour Party5394.9%
9Scott, D.Labour Party5374.8%
10Tobin, J.Independent4223.8%
11Cursons, S.Independent3873.5%

Electorate 10,949 · Ballots cast 11,088 · Back to ward index

Northill · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,427

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Daniels, P.Conservative and Unionist Party67647.4%Elected
2Sheridan, S.Independent54137.9%
3Harland, A.Labour Party21014.7%

Electorate 3,644 · Ballots cast 1,427 · Back to ward index

Potton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 5,252

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Zerny, A.Independent2,29643.7%Elected
2Wye, T.Independent1,90836.3%Elected
3Worboys, S.Conservative and Unionist Party2885.5%
4Pullinger, R.Conservative and Unionist Party2725.2%
5Beattie, R.Green Party2164.1%
6Barrow, R.Labour Party1633.1%
7Cheesewright, R.Labour Party1092.1%

Electorate 6,889 · Ballots cast 5,252 · Back to ward index

Westoning Flitton & Greenfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 1,449

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jamieson, J.Conservative and Unionist Party79354.7%Elected
2Bhasin, E.Independent26118.0%
3Ellis, G.Green Party18612.8%
4Hickman, N.Labour Party1369.4%
5Bowater, D.Liberal Democrats735.0%

Electorate 3,692 · Ballots cast 1,449 · Back to ward index

Meppershall & Shillington · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 1,394

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Stephenson, B.Conservative and Unionist Party77855.8%Elected
2Tizzard, G.Labour Party23917.1%
3Holland, D.Reform UK16511.8%
4Morgan, R.Liberal Democrats1238.8%
5Shingler, I.Independent896.4%

Electorate 3,746 · Ballots cast 1,394 · Back to ward index

Houghton Conquest & Haynes · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.7 pts Valid ballots 1,107

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hares, R.Independent62856.7%Elected
2Smith, M.Conservative and Unionist Party23321.0%
3Brown, K.Labour Party14913.5%
4Forster, P.Liberal Democrats494.4%
5Hartley, P.Green Party484.3%

Electorate 3,663 · Ballots cast 1,107 · Back to ward index

Heath & Reach · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.7 pts Valid ballots 1,309

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Versallion, M.Conservative and Unionist Party78259.7%Elected
2Sheppard, C.Labour Party20916.0%
3Leaman, R.Liberal Democrats14310.9%
4Palmer, H.Reform UK1219.2%
5Hine, S.Green Party544.1%

Electorate 3,461 · Ballots cast 1,309 · Back to ward index

Eaton Bray · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.3 pts Valid ballots 1,095

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Spicer, P.Conservative and Unionist Party69363.3%Elected
2Scholfield, D.Green Party20919.1%
3Faulkner, K.Labour Party19317.6%

Electorate 3,343 · Ballots cast 1,095 · Back to ward index

Aspley & Woburn · single-seat

Marginal winner 90.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −40.4 pts Valid ballots 2,039

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Baker, J.Independent1,84490.4%Elected
2Hawkins, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1035.1%
3Davies, N.Labour Party683.3%
4Emm, J.Liberal Democrats241.2%

Electorate 3,713 · Ballots cast 2,039 · Back to ward index