← Bury (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Bury 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

17 ward races
17 seats
9 elected below the proportional quota
52.9% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party24,21245.9%1270.6%1058.8%+2
Conservative and Unionist Party13,81226.2%211.8%529.4%-3
BURY IND4,5018.5%00.0%15.9%-1
RAD 1ST4,1777.9%317.6%15.9%+2
Liberal Democrats2,0453.9%00.0%00.0%0
Workers Party of Britain1,5623.0%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party1,4162.7%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK5391.0%00.0%00.0%0
English Democrats3410.6%00.0%00.0%0
Independent2000.4%00.0%00.0%0
Total52,805100.0%17100.0%17100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Redvales · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,089

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Tariq, T.Labour Party1,15537.4%Elected
2Shamim, S.Workers Party of Britain96231.1%
3Aslam, M.Conservative and Unionist Party41013.3%
4Johnstone, P.Green Party37812.2%
5Hamie, M.BURY IND1846.0%

Electorate 8,877 · Ballots cast 3,089 · EC ward code E05014164 · Back to ward index

Bury East · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,653

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McGill, G.Labour Party99937.7%Elected
2Sabir, F.BURY IND48818.4%
3Hashmi, S.Workers Party of Britain42315.9%
4Park, J.Conservative and Unionist Party33712.7%
5Cadwallader, K.Reform UK30211.4%
6Foss, D.Liberal Democrats1043.9%

Electorate 9,072 · Ballots cast 2,653 · EC ward code E05014153 · Back to ward index

Radcliffe North and Ainsworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,433

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Booth, A.RAD 1ST1,46742.7%Elected
2Cropper, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,18634.5%
3McGill, S.Labour Party78022.7%

Electorate 9,475 · Ballots cast 3,433 · EC ward code E05014161 · Back to ward index

Moorside · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,738

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Boles, C.Labour Party1,20243.9%Elected
2Yasin, A.BURY IND85831.3%
3Strachan, I.Conservative and Unionist Party67824.8%

Electorate 8,710 · Ballots cast 2,738 · EC ward code E05014157 · Back to ward index

Holyrood · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,715

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rizvi, I.Labour Party1,68045.2%Elected
2Wright, S.Liberal Democrats1,44338.8%
3Curati, P.Green Party2737.3%
4Baron, G.Conservative and Unionist Party1764.7%
5Morris, V.English Democrats1433.8%

Electorate 8,764 · Ballots cast 3,715 · EC ward code E05014156 · Back to ward index

North Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,028

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Southworth, J.Labour Party1,84445.8%Elected
2Dean, L.Conservative and Unionist Party1,80244.7%
3Allen, C.Green Party2636.5%
4Solomon, R.Independent1193.0%

Electorate 8,183 · Ballots cast 4,028 · EC ward code E05014158 · Back to ward index

Tottington · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,092

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McBriar, L.Conservative and Unionist Party1,41645.8%Elected
2Chaudhry, A.Labour Party90429.2%
3Sutcliffe, A.BURY IND77225.0%

Electorate 7,882 · Ballots cast 3,092 · EC ward code E05014167 · Back to ward index

Elton · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,506

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hayes, M.Labour Party1,60645.8%Elected
2Luxton, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,45641.5%
3Hankey, M.BURY IND44412.7%

Electorate 9,011 · Ballots cast 3,506 · EC ward code E05014155 · Back to ward index

Bury West · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,384

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Vernon, D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,63248.2%Elected
2Varnom, H.Labour Party1,28938.1%
3Bayfield, A.BURY IND46313.7%

Electorate 8,582 · Ballots cast 3,384 · EC ward code E05014154 · Back to ward index

Unsworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.4 pts Valid ballots 3,351

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hook, J.Labour Party1,72451.4%Elected
2Middleton, S.BURY IND76022.7%
3Davies, P.Conservative and Unionist Party69020.6%
4Ahmed, I.Workers Party of Britain1775.3%

Electorate 8,529 · Ballots cast 3,351 · EC ward code E05014168 · Back to ward index

Pilkington Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 3,170

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fitzgerald, E.Labour Party1,71053.9%Elected
2Rose, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,00031.5%
3Armstrong, J.Reform UK2377.5%
4Court, M.BURY IND1424.5%
5Zaman, S.Independent812.6%

Electorate 7,699 · Ballots cast 3,170 · EC ward code E05014159 · Back to ward index

Radcliffe West · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.6 pts Valid ballots 2,334

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Duncalfe, D.RAD 1ST1,32056.6%Elected
2Harcup, J.Labour Party81134.7%
3Lee, E.Conservative and Unionist Party2038.7%

Electorate 8,511 · Ballots cast 2,334 · EC ward code E05014162 · Back to ward index

Radcliffe East · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.0 pts Valid ballots 2,318

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Simpson, K.RAD 1ST1,39060.0%Elected
2Cathcart, R.Labour Party75732.7%
3Gregory, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1717.4%

Electorate 8,528 · Ballots cast 2,318 · EC ward code E05014160 · Back to ward index

Ramsbottom · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.5 pts Valid ballots 3,598

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pilkington, T.Labour Party2,21461.5%Elected
2Lewis, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,14231.7%
3Bristow, M.Liberal Democrats2426.7%

Electorate 9,066 · Ballots cast 3,598 · EC ward code E05014163 · Back to ward index

Besses · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.7 pts Valid ballots 2,397

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rahimov, M.Labour Party1,52863.7%Elected
2West, M.BURY IND39016.3%
3Keeley, G.Conservative and Unionist Party28111.7%
4Morris, S.English Democrats1988.3%

Electorate 8,276 · Ballots cast 2,397 · EC ward code E05014152 · Back to ward index

Sedgley · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.5 pts Valid ballots 2,797

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Quinn, A.Labour Party1,83265.5%Elected
2Grosskopf, J.Conservative and Unionist Party70925.3%
3Arthur, E.Liberal Democrats2569.2%

Electorate 8,881 · Ballots cast 2,797 · EC ward code E05014165 · Back to ward index

St Mary's · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.0 pts Valid ballots 3,202

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Green, D.Labour Party2,17768.0%Elected
2Markovins, A.Conservative and Unionist Party52316.3%
3Hubble, N.Green Party50215.7%

Electorate 8,835 · Ballots cast 3,202 · EC ward code E05014166 · Back to ward index