← Bury (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Bury 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

17 ward races
17 seats
6 elected below the proportional quota
35.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party23,72847.8%1164.7%952.9%+2
Conservative and Unionist Party14,09528.4%423.5%529.4%-1
RAD 1ST3,7737.6%211.8%15.9%+1
Green Party3,1936.4%00.0%15.9%-1
Liberal Democrats2,6275.3%00.0%15.9%-1
Independent1,8263.7%00.0%00.0%0
ENG DEM2410.5%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK1050.2%00.0%00.0%0
CPB370.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total49,625100.0%17100.0%17100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Radcliffe North & Ainsworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,308

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lancaster, J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,27938.7%Elected
2Simpson, K.RAD 1ST1,21836.8%
3Jamieson, R.Labour Party73122.1%
4Kirkley, G.Green Party802.4%

Electorate 9,439 · Ballots cast 3,308 · Back to ward index

Tottington · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,010

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gartside, I.Conservative and Unionist Party1,21940.5%Elected
2Turner, S.Labour Party82127.3%
3Warrington, W.Independent76525.4%
4Dunkerley, B.Green Party1344.5%
5Tegolo, C.Liberal Democrats712.4%

Electorate 7,902 · Ballots cast 3,010 · Back to ward index

North Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,698

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hussain, K.Conservative and Unionist Party1,57142.5%Elected
2Southworth, J.Labour Party1,48940.3%
3Allen, C.Green Party50113.5%
4Arthur, E.Liberal Democrats1373.7%

Electorate 8,157 · Ballots cast 3,698 · Back to ward index

Holyrood · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,562

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ryder, L.Labour Party1,69647.6%Elected
2Wright, S.Liberal Democrats1,44640.6%
3Baron, G.Conservative and Unionist Party1624.5%
4Curati, P.Green Party1564.4%
5Morris, V.ENG DEM1022.9%

Electorate 8,615 · Ballots cast 3,562 · Back to ward index

Pilkington Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,231

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rubinstein, M.Labour Party1,55748.2%Elected
2Jones, N.Conservative and Unionist Party1,17736.4%
3Zaman, S.Independent2377.3%
4Thomas, C.Green Party1294.0%
5Foss, D.Liberal Democrats942.9%
6Ross, D.CPB371.1%

Electorate 7,608 · Ballots cast 3,231 · Back to ward index

Elton · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,353

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Morris, C.Labour Party1,62348.4%Elected
2Luxton, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,48644.3%
3Sampson, M.Green Party1584.7%
4Solomon, R.Independent862.6%

Electorate 8,879 · Ballots cast 3,353 · Back to ward index

Bury West · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 3,188

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Arif, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,59650.1%Elected
2Chaudhry, A.Labour Party1,11234.9%
3Connor, J.Green Party48015.1%

Electorate 8,547 · Ballots cast 3,188 · Back to ward index

Bury East · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 2,188

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Farooq, U.Labour Party1,22355.9%Elected
2Baron, C.Conservative and Unionist Party62428.5%
3Hutchinson, L.Green Party1476.7%
4Cadwallader, K.Reform UK1054.8%
5Lewis, S.Liberal Democrats894.1%

Electorate 8,941 · Ballots cast 2,188 · Back to ward index

Moorside · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.0 pts Valid ballots 2,550

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ibrahim, B.Labour Party1,42956.0%Elected
2Farid, S.Conservative and Unionist Party69727.3%
3Hagan, V.Independent2168.5%
4Wood, K.Green Party2088.2%

Electorate 8,580 · Ballots cast 2,550 · Back to ward index

Ramsbottom · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.4 pts Valid ballots 3,654

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Staples-Jones, G.Labour Party2,06256.4%Elected
2Strachan, I.Conservative and Unionist Party1,29635.5%
3Hamdan, W.Green Party1494.1%
4Bristow, M.Liberal Democrats1474.0%

Electorate 9,185 · Ballots cast 3,654 · Back to ward index

Radcliffe West · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 2,154

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Smith, M.RAD 1ST1,22656.9%Elected
2Harcup, J.Labour Party66931.1%
3Balfour, S.Conservative and Unionist Party1939.0%
4Heath, M.Green Party472.2%
5Islam, K.Liberal Democrats190.9%

Electorate 8,358 · Ballots cast 2,154 · Back to ward index

Unsworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.5 pts Valid ballots 3,144

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rafiq, T.Labour Party1,80757.5%Elected
2Johnson, R.Conservative and Unionist Party94530.1%
3Hankey, M.Liberal Democrats1986.3%
4Thomas, L.Green Party1946.2%

Electorate 8,466 · Ballots cast 3,144 · Back to ward index

Radcliffe East · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.2 pts Valid ballots 2,206

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Walsh, M.RAD 1ST1,32960.2%Elected
2McGill, S.Labour Party63628.8%
3Bernstein, C.Conservative and Unionist Party1757.9%
4Sharples, H.Green Party663.0%

Electorate 8,131 · Ballots cast 2,206 · Back to ward index

St Mary's · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.6 pts Valid ballots 2,959

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Thorpe, S.Labour Party1,85262.6%Elected
2Park, J.Conservative and Unionist Party42714.4%
3Edeoga, U.Liberal Democrats42614.4%
4Hubble, N.Green Party2548.6%

Electorate 8,727 · Ballots cast 2,959 · Back to ward index

Redvales · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.7 pts Valid ballots 2,446

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Haroon, S.Labour Party1,55863.7%Elected
2Keeley, G.Conservative and Unionist Party45618.6%
3Bentley, D.Independent30612.5%
4Johnstone, P.Green Party1265.2%

Electorate 8,706 · Ballots cast 2,446 · Back to ward index

Besses · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.1 pts Valid ballots 2,269

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Smith, L.Labour Party1,56769.1%Elected
2West, M.Independent2169.5%
3Riu, A.Conservative and Unionist Party2018.9%
4Fay, C.Green Party1466.4%
5Morris, S.ENG DEM1396.1%

Electorate 8,166 · Ballots cast 2,269 · Back to ward index

Sedgley · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.1 pts Valid ballots 2,705

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Quinn, D.Labour Party1,89670.1%Elected
2Zuri, S.Conservative and Unionist Party59121.8%
3Heath, G.Green Party2188.1%

Electorate 8,749 · Ballots cast 2,705 · Back to ward index