← Bolton (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Bolton 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

20 ward races

21 seats

21 elected below the proportional quota

100.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	24,485	34.4%	9	42.9%	8	38.1%	+1
Conservative and Unionist Party	14,124	19.8%	3	14.3%	5	23.8%	-2
Green Party	6,493	9.1%	1	4.8%	2	9.5%	-1
REF and BFC	5,532	7.8%	0	0.0%	2	9.5%	-2
Liberal Democrats	5,388	7.6%	2	9.5%	1	4.8%	+1
HandBFI	5,370	7.5%	3	14.3%	1	4.8%	+2
Independent	3,467	4.9%	1	4.8%	1	4.8%	0
FandKFP	2,900	4.1%	2	9.5%	1	4.8%	+1
Workers Party of Britain	1,388	1.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	1,119	1.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
IND CHOICE	497	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
WFI	385	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	98	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	71,246	100.0%	21	100.0%	21	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Hulton · 1 seat · won at 29.9% · +20.1 pts below quota
Farnworth North · 1 seat · won at 32.8% · +17.2 pts below quota
Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill · 1 seat · won at 33.8% · +16.2 pts below quota
Westhoughton South · 1 seat · won at 35.2% · +14.8 pts below quota
Little Lever and Darcy Lever · 1 seat · won at 37.7% · +12.3 pts below quota
Astley Bridge · 1 seat · won at 38.0% · +12.0 pts below quota
Bradshaw · 1 seat · won at 40.5% · +9.5 pts below quota
Horwich North · 2 seats · won at 23.9% · +9.4 pts below quota
Breightmet · 1 seat · won at 42.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
Farnworth South · 1 seat · won at 43.1% · +6.9 pts below quota
Queens Park and Central · 1 seat · won at 43.7% · +6.3 pts below quota
Heaton, Lostock and Chew Moor · 1 seat · won at 44.2% · +5.8 pts below quota
Tonge with the Haulgh · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Halliwell · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · +4.9 pts below quota
Smithills · 1 seat · won at 45.9% · +4.1 pts below quota
Bromley Cross · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · +3.7 pts below quota
Rumworth · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
Great Lever · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Horwich South and Blackrod · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Kearsley · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · +0.1 pts below quota

Race results

Hulton · single-seat

Marginal winner 29.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +20.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,062

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Khan, F.	Labour Party	1,213	29.9%	Elected
2	Patel, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	824	20.3%
3	Bullock, D.	Independent	786	19.4%
4	Pathan, S.	Workers Party of Britain	546	13.4%
5	Lowe, R.	REF and BFC	354	8.7%
6	Hopkinson, P.	Green Party	231	5.7%
7	Maher, L.	Liberal Democrats	108	2.7%

Electorate 9,313 · Ballots cast 4,062 · EC ward code E05014829 · Back to ward index

Farnworth North · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,770

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Haworth, S.	Labour Party	908	32.8%	Elected
2	Bailey, M.	FandKFP	700	25.3%
3	Iqbal, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	520	18.8%
4	Evans, D.	REF and BFC	298	10.8%
5	Kochitty, P.	Green Party	273	9.9%
6	Tonge, J.	Liberal Democrats	71	2.6%

Electorate 10,163 · Ballots cast 2,770 · EC ward code E05014822 · Back to ward index

Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,360

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McGeown, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,137	33.8%	Elected
2	Higson, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	842	25.1%
3	Millington, K.	Labour Party	776	23.1%
4	Armstrong, J.	REF and BFC	314	9.3%
5	Reynolds, J.	WFI	189	5.6%
6	Barrett, C.	Green Party	102	3.0%

Electorate 10,404 · Ballots cast 3,360 · EC ward code E05014836 · Back to ward index

Westhoughton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,259

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McHugh, J.	Labour Party	1,146	35.2%	Elected
2	Maher, N.	Liberal Democrats	1,029	31.6%
3	Norris, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	410	12.6%
4	Price, D.	REF and BFC	292	9.0%
5	Speight, J.	WFI	196	6.0%
6	Bates, R.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	98	3.0%
7	Rylance, H.	Green Party	88	2.7%

Electorate 10,470 · Ballots cast 3,259 · EC ward code E05014837 · Back to ward index

Little Lever and Darcy Lever · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,182

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barnard, L.	Labour Party	1,201	37.7%	Elected
2	Khan, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	861	27.1%
3	Hornby, S.	Independent	615	19.3%
4	Varnam, B.	REF and BFC	393	12.4%
5	Martin, S.	Liberal Democrats	112	3.5%

Electorate 9,678 · Ballots cast 3,182 · EC ward code E05014831 · Back to ward index

Astley Bridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,107

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hewitt, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,560	38.0%	Elected
2	Taylor, K.	Labour Party	1,559	38.0%
3	Devereux, M.	Green Party	555	13.5%
4	Armstrong, M.	REF and BFC	433	10.5%

Electorate 11,556 · Ballots cast 4,107 · EC ward code E05014818 · Back to ward index

Bradshaw · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,569

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Schofield, J.	Labour Party	1,446	40.5%	Elected
2	Tully, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,388	38.9%
3	Harris, S.	REF and BFC	433	12.1%
4	Miller, M.	Green Party	177	5.0%
5	Forrest, B.	Liberal Democrats	125	3.5%

Electorate 9,592 · Ballots cast 3,569 · EC ward code E05014819 · Back to ward index

Horwich North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,677

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rigby, V.	HandBFI	2,028	26.4%	Elected
2	Sears, C.	HandBFI	1,835	23.9%	Elected
3	McKeon, K.	Labour Party	1,401	18.2%
4	Butler, G.	Labour Party	1,117	14.5%
5	Baines, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	385	5.0%
6	Wright, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	319	4.2%
7	Johnson, G.	Green Party	150	2.0%
8	Jones, T.	REF and BFC	140	1.8%
9	Tonge, S.	REF and BFC	128	1.7%
10	Turner-Allen, M.	Liberal Democrats	126	1.6%
11	Turner-Preece, S.	Liberal Democrats	48	0.6%

Electorate 11,275 · Ballots cast 7,677 · EC ward code E05014827 · Back to ward index

Breightmet · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,047

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morrisey, R.	Labour Party	1,293	42.4%	Elected
2	Campbell, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,130	37.1%
3	Lloyd, G.	REF and BFC	425	13.9%
4	Shepherd, W.	Green Party	139	4.6%
5	Gradwell, D.	Liberal Democrats	60	2.0%

Electorate 10,805 · Ballots cast 3,047 · EC ward code E05014820 · Back to ward index

Farnworth South · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,264

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Connor-Bennett, P.	FandKFP	975	43.1%	Elected
2	Mistry, C.	Labour Party	752	33.2%
3	Pattison, J.	Reform UK	292	12.9%
4	Greenhalgh, J.	Green Party	105	4.6%
5	Forshaw, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	105	4.6%
6	Tonge, A.	Liberal Democrats	35	1.5%

Electorate 9,601 · Ballots cast 2,264 · EC ward code E05014823 · Back to ward index

Queens Park and Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,877

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thomas, L.	Labour Party	1,256	43.7%	Elected
2	Shafiq, O.	Workers Party of Britain	842	29.3%
3	Harvey, S.	REF and BFC	221	7.7%
4	McLoughlin, M.	Green Party	220	7.6%
5	Shah, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	168	5.8%
6	Fairhurst, R.	Liberal Democrats	94	3.3%
7	Abraham Halliwell, D.	Independent	76	2.6%

Electorate 10,352 · Ballots cast 2,877 · EC ward code E05014832 · Back to ward index

Heaton, Lostock and Chew Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,471

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morgan, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,975	44.2%	Elected
2	Lovat, B.	Labour Party	1,130	25.3%
3	Campbell, G.	IND CHOICE	497	11.1%
4	Entwistle, J.	Green Party	358	8.0%
5	McGreavy, G.	REF and BFC	319	7.1%
6	Martin, P.	Liberal Democrats	192	4.3%

Electorate 11,187 · Ballots cast 4,471 · EC ward code E05014826 · Back to ward index

Tonge with the Haulgh · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,905

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mort, E.	Labour Party	1,300	44.8%	Elected
2	Jones, T.	Reform UK	827	28.5%
3	Meen, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	465	16.0%
4	McAllister, A.	Green Party	200	6.9%
5	Harasiwka, F.	Liberal Democrats	113	3.9%

Electorate 11,446 · Ballots cast 2,905 · EC ward code E05014835 · Back to ward index

Halliwell · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,374

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Alli, H.	Green Party	1,523	45.1%	Elected
2	Morris, K.	Labour Party	1,273	37.7%
3	Cryer, N.	REF and BFC	268	7.9%
4	Turner-Preece, C.	Liberal Democrats	178	5.3%
5	Alom, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	132	3.9%

Electorate 10,548 · Ballots cast 3,374 · EC ward code E05014825 · Back to ward index

Smithills · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,681

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Veevers, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,690	45.9%	Elected
2	Sesay, S.	Labour Party	859	23.3%
3	Attenborough, V.	Green Party	448	12.2%
4	Shaw, H.	REF and BFC	365	9.9%
5	Ndokwo, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	319	8.7%

Electorate 10,677 · Ballots cast 3,681 · EC ward code E05014834 · Back to ward index

Bromley Cross · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,807

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Muslim, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,763	46.3%	Elected
2	Brown, I.	Labour Party	1,359	35.7%
3	Hare, A.	REF and BFC	368	9.7%
4	Harrison, L.	Green Party	204	5.4%
5	Priest, P.	Liberal Democrats	113	3.0%

Electorate 9,854 · Ballots cast 3,807 · EC ward code E05014821 · Back to ward index

Rumworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,124

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Patel, A.	Independent	1,990	48.3%	Elected
2	Adia, H.	Labour Party	1,244	30.2%
3	Johnson, A.	Green Party	550	13.3%
4	Mbah, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	153	3.7%
5	Speakman, C.	REF and BFC	139	3.4%
6	Wroe, G.	Liberal Democrats	48	1.2%

Electorate 11,644 · Ballots cast 4,124 · EC ward code E05014833 · Back to ward index

Great Lever · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,144

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hon, K.	Labour Party	1,521	48.4%	Elected
2	Alom, M.	Green Party	1,009	32.1%
3	Earp, T.	REF and BFC	355	11.3%
4	Muslim, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	259	8.2%

Electorate 11,786 · Ballots cast 3,144 · EC ward code E05014824 · Back to ward index

Horwich South and Blackrod · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,113

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williamson, S.	HandBFI	1,507	48.4%	Elected
2	Jarvis, M.	Labour Party	878	28.2%
3	Norris, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	404	13.0%
4	Carr, E.	REF and BFC	138	4.4%
5	Alker, H.	Green Party	109	3.5%
6	Turner-Allen, L.	Liberal Democrats	77	2.5%

Electorate 9,861 · Ballots cast 3,113 · EC ward code E05014828 · Back to ward index

Kearsley · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,453

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crossley, S.	FandKFP	1,225	49.9%	Elected
2	Livesey, M.	Labour Party	853	34.8%
3	Gregory, D.	REF and BFC	149	6.1%
4	Ratcliffe, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	142	5.8%
5	Jojo, N.	Green Party	52	2.1%
6	Cooper, C.	Liberal Democrats	32	1.3%

Electorate 9,313 · Ballots cast 2,453 · EC ward code E05014830 · Back to ward index