← Bolton (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort
Bolton 2022
Local elections held 5 May 2022.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 26,041 | 38.0% | 8 | 40.0% | 9 | 45.0% | -1 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 23,377 | 34.1% | 9 | 45.0% | 8 | 40.0% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 6,696 | 9.8% | 2 | 10.0% | 2 | 10.0% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 3,922 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.0% | -1 |
| F & K FIRST | 2,394 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,440 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| FIRST | 1,299 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| H & B FIRST | 1,143 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| OK | 1,099 | 1.6% | 1 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| LL&D FIRST | 634 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| WFI | 361 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 92 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 68,498 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Horwich & Blackrod · 1 seat · won at 32.0% · +18.0 pts below quota
- Westhoughton South · 1 seat · won at 32.7% · +17.3 pts below quota
- Kearsley · 1 seat · won at 37.9% · +12.1 pts below quota
- Little Lever & Darcy Lever · 1 seat · won at 37.9% · +12.1 pts below quota
- Horwich North East · 1 seat · won at 38.0% · +12.0 pts below quota
- Westhoughton North & Chew Moor · 1 seat · won at 42.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
- Hulton · 1 seat · won at 44.4% · +5.6 pts below quota
- Tonge With the Haulgh · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
- Crompton · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · +4.3 pts below quota
- Farnworth · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · +2.1 pts below quota
- Breightmet · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · +0.9 pts below quota
- Astley Bridge · 1 seat · won at 49.4% · +0.6 pts below quota
- Smithills · 1 seat · won at 50.7% · above quota
- Heaton & Lostock · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Bradshaw · 1 seat · won at 52.5% · above quota
- Rumworth · 1 seat · won at 55.2% · above quota
- Bromley Cross · 1 seat · won at 56.4% · above quota
- Harper Green · 1 seat · won at 57.0% · above quota
- Great Lever · 1 seat · won at 68.3% · above quota
- Halliwell · 1 seat · won at 74.5% · above quota
Race results
Horwich & Blackrod · single-seat
Marginal winner 32.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,746
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baines S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,200 | 32.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Williamson S. | H & B FIRST | 1,143 | 30.5% | |
| 3 | Millington K. | Labour Party | 1,129 | 30.1% | |
| 4 | Anderson J. | Green Party | 155 | 4.1% | |
| 5 | Walsh K. | Liberal Democrats | 73 | 1.9% | |
| 6 | Richards L. | Reform UK | 46 | 1.2% |
Westhoughton South · single-seat
Marginal winner 32.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,419
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wilkinson D. | Liberal Democrats | 1,118 | 32.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Tighe M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,054 | 30.8% | |
| 3 | Chadwick D. | Labour Party | 1,009 | 29.5% | |
| 4 | Brennan R. | WFI | 141 | 4.1% | |
| 5 | Bates R. | Reform UK | 97 | 2.8% |
Kearsley · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,903
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newall D. | OK | 1,099 | 37.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Flitcroft P. | F & K FIRST | 715 | 24.6% | |
| 3 | Owen J. | Labour Party | 593 | 20.4% | |
| 4 | Cunningham M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 241 | 8.3% | |
| 5 | Pattison J. | Reform UK | 221 | 7.6% | |
| 6 | Wilkinson M. | Liberal Democrats | 34 | 1.2% |
Little Lever & Darcy Lever · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,277
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meehan D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,243 | 37.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Pratheepan L. | Labour Party | 809 | 24.7% | |
| 3 | Gibbon R. | LL&D FIRST | 634 | 19.3% | |
| 4 | Harris K. | Reform UK | 485 | 14.8% | |
| 5 | Turner-Preece S. | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 3.2% |
Horwich North East · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,753
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McKeon K. | Labour Party | 1,428 | 38.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Bamforth R. | FIRST | 1,299 | 34.6% | |
| 3 | O'Kelly C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 641 | 17.1% | |
| 4 | Turner-Allen M. | Liberal Democrats | 212 | 5.6% | |
| 5 | Ebbitt D. | Green Party | 133 | 3.5% | |
| 6 | Lear D. | Reform UK | 40 | 1.1% |
Westhoughton North & Chew Moor · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,863
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cox M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,648 | 42.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Price A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,266 | 32.8% | |
| 3 | Jiva Z. | Labour Party | 645 | 16.7% | |
| 4 | Speight J. | WFI | 220 | 5.7% | |
| 5 | Armstrong J. | Reform UK | 84 | 2.2% |
Hulton · single-seat
Marginal winner 44.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,200
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patel S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,420 | 44.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Shaikh S. | Labour Party | 1,189 | 37.2% | |
| 3 | Shepherd W. | Green Party | 241 | 7.5% | |
| 4 | Maher N. | Liberal Democrats | 179 | 5.6% | |
| 5 | Lowe R. | Reform UK | 171 | 5.3% |
Tonge With the Haulgh · single-seat
Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,877
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peel N. | Labour Party | 1,288 | 44.8% | Elected |
| 2 | McArdle W. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,102 | 38.3% | |
| 3 | Jones T. | Reform UK | 401 | 13.9% | |
| 4 | Harasiwka R. | Liberal Democrats | 86 | 3.0% |
Crompton · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,970
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mort E. | Labour Party | 1,815 | 45.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Davda Y. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,783 | 44.9% | |
| 3 | Fitzsimmons G. | Reform UK | 198 | 5.0% | |
| 4 | Godfrey F. | Liberal Democrats | 174 | 4.4% |
Farnworth · single-seat
Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,935
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayub N. | Labour Party | 1,406 | 47.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Flitcroft M. | F & K FIRST | 1,118 | 38.1% | |
| 3 | Derbyshire M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 216 | 7.4% | |
| 4 | Whitworth S. | Reform UK | 143 | 4.9% | |
| 5 | MacPherson C. | Liberal Democrats | 52 | 1.8% |
Breightmet · single-seat
Marginal winner 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,066
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warren A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,504 | 49.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Butler G. | Labour Party | 1,207 | 39.4% | |
| 3 | McLoughlin M. | Reform UK | 228 | 7.4% | |
| 4 | Forrest B. | Liberal Democrats | 127 | 4.1% |
Astley Bridge · single-seat
Marginal winner 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,530
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walsh J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,743 | 49.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Sutton S. | Labour Party | 1,193 | 33.8% | |
| 3 | Devereux M. | Green Party | 254 | 7.2% | |
| 4 | Haslam J. | Liberal Democrats | 232 | 6.6% | |
| 5 | Monson A. | Reform UK | 108 | 3.1% |
Smithills · single-seat
Marginal winner 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.7 pts Valid ballots 3,810
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Priest S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,931 | 50.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Sesay S. | Labour Party | 980 | 25.7% | |
| 3 | Johnson J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 612 | 16.1% | |
| 4 | Shaw H. | Reform UK | 183 | 4.8% | |
| 5 | Riesco R. | Green Party | 104 | 2.7% |
Heaton & Lostock · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.3 pts Valid ballots 4,277
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galloway A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,239 | 52.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Kugathas J. | Labour Party | 1,172 | 27.4% | |
| 3 | Campbell G. | Reform UK | 596 | 13.9% | |
| 4 | Priest J. | Liberal Democrats | 270 | 6.3% |
Bradshaw · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.5 pts Valid ballots 3,284
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dean M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,723 | 52.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Tibbitts J. | Labour Party | 1,069 | 32.6% | |
| 3 | Turner-Preece C. | Liberal Democrats | 301 | 9.2% | |
| 4 | Swarsbrick D. | Reform UK | 191 | 5.8% |
Rumworth · single-seat
Marginal winner 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.2 pts Valid ballots 3,657
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atcha A. | Labour Party | 2,017 | 55.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Patel A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,297 | 35.5% | |
| 3 | Johnson A. | Green Party | 226 | 6.2% | |
| 4 | Riley C. | Reform UK | 62 | 1.7% | |
| 5 | Cooper D. | Liberal Democrats | 55 | 1.5% |
Bromley Cross · single-seat
Marginal winner 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.4 pts Valid ballots 4,066
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowen A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,295 | 56.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Cox G. | Labour Party | 1,227 | 30.2% | |
| 3 | Harrison L. | Green Party | 187 | 4.6% | |
| 4 | Hare A. | Reform UK | 183 | 4.5% | |
| 5 | Fox W. | Liberal Democrats | 174 | 4.3% |
Harper Green · single-seat
Marginal winner 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.0 pts Valid ballots 3,212
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khurram H. | Labour Party | 1,831 | 57.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Khan F. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 567 | 17.7% | |
| 3 | Oliver L. | F & K FIRST | 561 | 17.5% | |
| 4 | Worthington P. | Reform UK | 180 | 5.6% | |
| 5 | Hayes J. | Liberal Democrats | 73 | 2.3% |
Great Lever · single-seat
Marginal winner 68.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.3 pts Valid ballots 2,873
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayub M. | Labour Party | 1,963 | 68.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Davda Z. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 514 | 17.9% | |
| 3 | McAllister A. | Reform UK | 149 | 5.2% | |
| 4 | Rylance H. | Green Party | 140 | 4.9% | |
| 5 | MacPherson D. | Liberal Democrats | 107 | 3.7% |
Halliwell · single-seat
Marginal winner 74.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −24.5 pts Valid ballots 2,780
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaman A. | Labour Party | 2,071 | 74.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Webb L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 335 | 12.1% | |
| 3 | Cryer N. | Reform UK | 156 | 5.6% | |
| 4 | Turner-Allen L. | Liberal Democrats | 126 | 4.5% | |
| 5 | Massey A. | Independent | 92 | 3.3% |