← Bolton (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Bolton 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

20 ward races
20 seats
12 elected below the proportional quota
60.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party26,04138.0%840.0%945.0%-1
Conservative and Unionist Party23,37734.1%945.0%840.0%+1
Liberal Democrats6,6969.8%210.0%210.0%0
Reform UK3,9225.7%00.0%15.0%-1
F & K FIRST2,3943.5%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party1,4402.1%00.0%00.0%0
FIRST1,2991.9%00.0%00.0%0
H & B FIRST1,1431.7%00.0%00.0%0
OK1,0991.6%15.0%00.0%+1
LL&D FIRST6340.9%00.0%00.0%0
WFI3610.5%00.0%00.0%0
Independent920.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total68,498100.0%20100.0%20100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Horwich & Blackrod · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,746

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Baines S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,20032.0%Elected
2Williamson S.H & B FIRST1,14330.5%
3Millington K.Labour Party1,12930.1%
4Anderson J.Green Party1554.1%
5Walsh K.Liberal Democrats731.9%
6Richards L.Reform UK461.2%

Electorate 10,980 · Ballots cast 3,746 · EC ward code E05000660 · Back to ward index

Westhoughton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,419

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Wilkinson D.Liberal Democrats1,11832.7%Elected
2Tighe M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,05430.8%
3Chadwick D.Labour Party1,00929.5%
4Brennan R.WFI1414.1%
5Bates R.Reform UK972.8%

Electorate 9,966 · Ballots cast 3,419 · EC ward code E05000669 · Back to ward index

Kearsley · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,903

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Newall D.OK1,09937.9%Elected
2Flitcroft P.F & K FIRST71524.6%
3Owen J.Labour Party59320.4%
4Cunningham M.Conservative and Unionist Party2418.3%
5Pattison J.Reform UK2217.6%
6Wilkinson M.Liberal Democrats341.2%

Electorate 10,560 · Ballots cast 2,903 · EC ward code E05000663 · Back to ward index

Little Lever & Darcy Lever · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,277

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Meehan D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,24337.9%Elected
2Pratheepan L.Labour Party80924.7%
3Gibbon R.LL&D FIRST63419.3%
4Harris K.Reform UK48514.8%
5Turner-Preece S.Liberal Democrats1063.2%

Electorate 9,665 · Ballots cast 3,277 · EC ward code E05000664 · Back to ward index

Horwich North East · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,753

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McKeon K.Labour Party1,42838.0%Elected
2Bamforth R.FIRST1,29934.6%
3O'Kelly C.Conservative and Unionist Party64117.1%
4Turner-Allen M.Liberal Democrats2125.6%
5Ebbitt D.Green Party1333.5%
6Lear D.Reform UK401.1%

Electorate 10,023 · Ballots cast 3,753 · EC ward code E05000661 · Back to ward index

Westhoughton North & Chew Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,863

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cox M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,64842.7%Elected
2Price A.Liberal Democrats1,26632.8%
3Jiva Z.Labour Party64516.7%
4Speight J.WFI2205.7%
5Armstrong J.Reform UK842.2%

Electorate 11,078 · Ballots cast 3,863 · EC ward code E05000668 · Back to ward index

Hulton · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,200

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Patel S.Conservative and Unionist Party1,42044.4%Elected
2Shaikh S.Labour Party1,18937.2%
3Shepherd W.Green Party2417.5%
4Maher N.Liberal Democrats1795.6%
5Lowe R.Reform UK1715.3%

Electorate 10,186 · Ballots cast 3,200 · EC ward code E05000662 · Back to ward index

Tonge With the Haulgh · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,877

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Peel N.Labour Party1,28844.8%Elected
2McArdle W.Conservative and Unionist Party1,10238.3%
3Jones T.Reform UK40113.9%
4Harasiwka R.Liberal Democrats863.0%

Electorate 9,346 · Ballots cast 2,877 · EC ward code E05000667 · Back to ward index

Crompton · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,970

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mort E.Labour Party1,81545.7%Elected
2Davda Y.Conservative and Unionist Party1,78344.9%
3Fitzsimmons G.Reform UK1985.0%
4Godfrey F.Liberal Democrats1744.4%

Electorate 11,586 · Ballots cast 3,970 · EC ward code E05000654 · Back to ward index

Farnworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,935

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ayub N.Labour Party1,40647.9%Elected
2Flitcroft M.F & K FIRST1,11838.1%
3Derbyshire M.Conservative and Unionist Party2167.4%
4Whitworth S.Reform UK1434.9%
5MacPherson C.Liberal Democrats521.8%

Electorate 10,994 · Ballots cast 2,935 · EC ward code E05000655 · Back to ward index

Breightmet · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,066

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Warren A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,50449.1%Elected
2Butler G.Labour Party1,20739.4%
3McLoughlin M.Reform UK2287.4%
4Forrest B.Liberal Democrats1274.1%

Electorate 9,742 · Ballots cast 3,066 · EC ward code E05000652 · Back to ward index

Astley Bridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,530

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Walsh J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,74349.4%Elected
2Sutton S.Labour Party1,19333.8%
3Devereux M.Green Party2547.2%
4Haslam J.Liberal Democrats2326.6%
5Monson A.Reform UK1083.1%

Electorate 10,368 · Ballots cast 3,530 · EC ward code E05000650 · Back to ward index

Smithills · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.7 pts Valid ballots 3,810

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Priest S.Liberal Democrats1,93150.7%Elected
2Sesay S.Labour Party98025.7%
3Johnson J.Conservative and Unionist Party61216.1%
4Shaw H.Reform UK1834.8%
5Riesco R.Green Party1042.7%

Electorate 10,481 · Ballots cast 3,810 · EC ward code E05000666 · Back to ward index

Heaton & Lostock · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.3 pts Valid ballots 4,277

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Galloway A.Conservative and Unionist Party2,23952.3%Elected
2Kugathas J.Labour Party1,17227.4%
3Campbell G.Reform UK59613.9%
4Priest J.Liberal Democrats2706.3%

Electorate 10,745 · Ballots cast 4,277 · EC ward code E05000659 · Back to ward index

Bradshaw · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.5 pts Valid ballots 3,284

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dean M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,72352.5%Elected
2Tibbitts J.Labour Party1,06932.6%
3Turner-Preece C.Liberal Democrats3019.2%
4Swarsbrick D.Reform UK1915.8%

Electorate 8,992 · Ballots cast 3,284 · EC ward code E05000651 · Back to ward index

Rumworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.2 pts Valid ballots 3,657

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Atcha A.Labour Party2,01755.2%Elected
2Patel A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,29735.5%
3Johnson A.Green Party2266.2%
4Riley C.Reform UK621.7%
5Cooper D.Liberal Democrats551.5%

Electorate 10,249 · Ballots cast 3,657 · EC ward code E05000665 · Back to ward index

Bromley Cross · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.4 pts Valid ballots 4,066

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cowen A.Conservative and Unionist Party2,29556.4%Elected
2Cox G.Labour Party1,22730.2%
3Harrison L.Green Party1874.6%
4Hare A.Reform UK1834.5%
5Fox W.Liberal Democrats1744.3%

Electorate 10,392 · Ballots cast 4,066 · EC ward code E05000653 · Back to ward index

Harper Green · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.0 pts Valid ballots 3,212

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Khurram H.Labour Party1,83157.0%Elected
2Khan F.Conservative and Unionist Party56717.7%
3Oliver L.F & K FIRST56117.5%
4Worthington P.Reform UK1805.6%
5Hayes J.Liberal Democrats732.3%

Electorate 10,283 · Ballots cast 3,212 · EC ward code E05000658 · Back to ward index

Great Lever · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.3 pts Valid ballots 2,873

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ayub M.Labour Party1,96368.3%Elected
2Davda Z.Conservative and Unionist Party51417.9%
3McAllister A.Reform UK1495.2%
4Rylance H.Green Party1404.9%
5MacPherson D.Liberal Democrats1073.7%

Electorate 10,736 · Ballots cast 2,873 · EC ward code E05000656 · Back to ward index

Halliwell · single-seat

Marginal winner 74.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −24.5 pts Valid ballots 2,780

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Zaman A.Labour Party2,07174.5%Elected
2Webb L.Conservative and Unionist Party33512.1%
3Cryer N.Reform UK1565.6%
4Turner-Allen L.Liberal Democrats1264.5%
5Massey A.Independent923.3%

Electorate 9,393 · Ballots cast 2,780 · EC ward code E05000657 · Back to ward index