← Blackburn with Darwen (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Blackburn with Darwen 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

17 ward races
17 seats
5 elected below the proportional quota
29.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party12,74940.4%741.2%741.2%0
Independent10,89334.5%847.1%635.3%+2
Conservative and Unionist Party7,09422.5%211.8%423.5%-2
Green Party7622.4%00.0%00.0%0
ND710.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total31,569100.0%17100.0%17100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Little Harwood and Whitebirk · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,214

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Patel, T.Independent80936.5%Elected
2Esat, I.Independent75534.1%
3Surve, N.Labour Party48021.7%
4Cade, L.Conservative and Unionist Party1707.7%

Electorate 6,118 · Ballots cast 2,214 · EC ward code E05011518 · Back to ward index

Wensley Fold · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,032

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Masters, I.Independent94846.7%Elected
2Harling, D.Labour Party88143.4%
3Field, R.Green Party1175.8%
4Marrow, M.Conservative and Unionist Party864.2%

Electorate 6,083 · Ballots cast 2,032 · EC ward code E05011523 · Back to ward index

Roe Lee · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,128

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ahmed, I.Independent99946.9%Elected
2Liddle, S.Labour Party72334.0%
3Voegt, H.Conservative and Unionist Party40619.1%

Electorate 6,497 · Ballots cast 2,128 · EC ward code E05011521 · Back to ward index

Darwen South · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,843

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jackson, M.Labour Party90349.0%Elected
2Duncan, S.Conservative and Unionist Party73439.8%
3Morgan, D.Green Party20611.2%

Electorate 6,563 · Ballots cast 1,843 · EC ward code E05011515 · Back to ward index

Audley and Queen's Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,172

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Kapadia, A.Independent1,06849.2%Elected
2Hussain, F.Labour Party66430.6%
3Chopdat, A.Green Party31114.3%
4Ainscow, L.Conservative and Unionist Party1295.9%

Electorate 6,439 · Ballots cast 2,172 · EC ward code E05011508 · Back to ward index

Blackburn Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 1,561

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Mahmood, T.Independent79951.2%Elected
2Patel, L.Labour Party59638.2%
3Murray, K.Conservative and Unionist Party16610.6%

Electorate 6,316 · Ballots cast 1,561 · EC ward code E05011511 · Back to ward index

Bastwell and Daisyfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.6 pts Valid ballots 2,419

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Khan, R.Independent1,27352.6%Elected
2Hussain, I.Labour Party93638.7%
3Hardman, E.Conservative and Unionist Party1395.7%
4Shahzad, K.ND712.9%

Electorate 5,922 · Ballots cast 2,419 · EC ward code E05011509 · Back to ward index

Ewood · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 1,245

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Whalley, A.Labour Party65752.8%Elected
2Moore, R.Conservative and Unionist Party39731.9%
3Milburn, J.Green Party12810.3%
4Mohammed, S.Independent635.1%

Electorate 6,200 · Ballots cast 1,245 · EC ward code E05011517 · Back to ward index

Blackburn South and Lower Darwen · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 1,505

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Johnson, L.Labour Party80953.8%Elected
2Gee, D.Conservative and Unionist Party69646.2%

Electorate 5,728 · Ballots cast 1,505 · EC ward code E05011512 · Back to ward index

West Pennine · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 2,112

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Slater, N.Conservative and Unionist Party1,13953.9%Elected
2Charlesworth, S.Labour Party97346.1%

Electorate 6,150 · Ballots cast 2,112 · EC ward code E05011524 · Back to ward index

Blackburn South East · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 1,078

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Humphrys, T.Labour Party62858.3%Elected
2Haworth, R.Independent25924.0%
3Arnold, H.Conservative and Unionist Party19117.7%

Electorate 6,126 · Ballots cast 1,078 · EC ward code E05011513 · Back to ward index

Darwen East · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 1,318

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fielding, K.Labour Party77358.6%Elected
2Browne, P.Independent33125.1%
3Slater, R.Conservative and Unionist Party21416.2%

Electorate 6,459 · Ballots cast 1,318 · EC ward code E05011514 · Back to ward index

Billinge and Beardwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.7 pts Valid ballots 2,410

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hussain, W.Independent1,51262.7%Elected
2Patel, A.Labour Party50921.1%
3Macaulay, R.Conservative and Unionist Party38916.1%

Electorate 6,333 · Ballots cast 2,410 · EC ward code E05011510 · Back to ward index

Mill Hill and Moorgate · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.0 pts Valid ballots 1,089

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gunn, J.Labour Party69764.0%Elected
2Murphy, J.Conservative and Unionist Party27225.0%
3Shah, N.Independent12011.0%

Electorate 5,605 · Ballots cast 1,089 · EC ward code E05011520 · Back to ward index

Shear Brow and Corporation Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.9 pts Valid ballots 2,762

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Patel, M.Independent1,95770.9%Elected
2Akhtar, H.Labour Party74026.8%
3Pearson, J.Conservative and Unionist Party652.4%

Electorate 6,194 · Ballots cast 2,762 · EC ward code E05011522 · Back to ward index

Darwen West · single-seat

Marginal winner 73.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −23.8 pts Valid ballots 1,753

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Taylor, B.Labour Party1,29373.8%Elected
2Salton, L.Conservative and Unionist Party46026.2%

Electorate 6,176 · Ballots cast 1,753 · EC ward code E05011516 · Back to ward index

Livesey with Pleasington · single-seat

Marginal winner 74.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −24.7 pts Valid ballots 1,928

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Russell, M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,44174.7%Elected
2Sajid, I.Labour Party48725.3%

Electorate 6,616 · Ballots cast 1,928 · EC ward code E05011519 · Back to ward index