← Ashford (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Ashford 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 7 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 7 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 14,754 | 41.8% | 7 | 100.0% | 3 | 42.9% | +4 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 7,622 | 21.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 28.6% | -2 |
| Green Party | 5,231 | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 14.3% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 4,161 | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 14.3% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,154 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Ashford Independent | 1,303 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Heritage Party | 75 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 35,300 | 100.0% | 7 | 100.0% | 7 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Tenterden · 1 seat · won at 38.5% · +11.5 pts below quota
- Ashford Rural West · 1 seat · won at 39.1% · +10.9 pts below quota
- Ashford Rural East · 1 seat · won at 39.7% · +10.3 pts below quota
- Ashford Central · 1 seat · won at 40.4% · +9.6 pts below quota
- Ashford East · 1 seat · won at 41.5% · +8.5 pts below quota
- Ashford Rural South · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · +2.4 pts below quota
- Ashford South · 1 seat · won at 47.8% · +2.2 pts below quota
Race results
Tenterden · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,529
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wayne Chapman | Reform UK | 2,130 | 38.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Bell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,918 | 34.7% | |
| 3 | David John Ward | Labour Party | 533 | 9.6% | |
| 4 | Guy Alexander Pullen | Green Party | 476 | 8.6% | |
| 5 | Alexander John Coxall | Liberal Democrats | 394 | 7.1% | |
| 6 | Martin Gordon Chambers | Heritage Party | 75 | 1.4% |
Ashford Rural West · single-seat
Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,614
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Eustace | Reform UK | 2,195 | 39.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Clair Bell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,784 | 31.8% | |
| 3 | Vanessa Lucey Hutchinson | Green Party | 539 | 9.6% | |
| 4 | Tania Jane Simpson Gauder | Labour Party | 485 | 8.6% | |
| 5 | Adrian John Gee-Turner | Liberal Democrats | 355 | 6.3% | |
| 6 | Matt Peach | Ashford Independent | 256 | 4.6% |
Ashford Rural East · single-seat
Marginal winner 39.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,692
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Philip Collins | Reform UK | 2,260 | 39.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Pat Marsh | Green Party | 1,381 | 24.3% | |
| 3 | Jo Gideon | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,204 | 21.2% | |
| 4 | Xanthe Roe | Labour Party | 434 | 7.6% | |
| 5 | Caroline Mary Anne Knight | Liberal Democrats | 412 | 7.2% |
Ashford Central · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,797
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pamela Ann Williams | Reform UK | 1,939 | 40.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Paul William Bartlett | Conservative and Unionist Party | 993 | 20.7% | |
| 3 | Diccon Spain | Labour Party | 905 | 18.9% | |
| 4 | Steve Sitton | Green Party | 723 | 15.1% | |
| 5 | Valerie Charlotte Mbali | Liberal Democrats | 235 | 4.9% |
Ashford East · single-seat
Marginal winner 41.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,732
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dean Edward Burns | Reform UK | 1,965 | 41.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Steven Campkin | Green Party | 1,725 | 36.5% | |
| 3 | Matthew James Bridger | Conservative and Unionist Party | 447 | 9.4% | |
| 4 | Reena Mathew | Labour Party | 443 | 9.4% | |
| 5 | Jacquie Stamp | Liberal Democrats | 153 | 3.2% |
Ashford Rural South · single-seat
Marginal winner 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,193
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Barrett | Reform UK | 2,471 | 47.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Heather Angela Hayward | Ashford Independent | 1,047 | 20.2% | |
| 3 | David Patrick John Robey | Conservative and Unionist Party | 859 | 16.5% | |
| 4 | Simon Turp | Labour Party | 459 | 8.8% | |
| 5 | Chris Grayling | Liberal Democrats | 356 | 6.9% |
Ashford South · single-seat
Marginal winner 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,750
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Wibberley | Reform UK | 1,794 | 47.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Brendan Chilton | Labour Party | 902 | 24.1% | |
| 3 | Jac Wood | Conservative and Unionist Party | 417 | 11.1% | |
| 4 | Gwen Stacy Protheroe | Green Party | 387 | 10.3% | |
| 5 | Garry Harrison | Liberal Democrats | 249 | 6.6% |