← Arun (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Arun 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

23 ward races
54 seats
49 elected below the proportional quota
90.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 23 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 54 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party34,31940.6%2037.0%2342.6%-3
Liberal Democrats17,84521.1%1425.9%1120.4%+3
Labour Party12,60414.9%814.8%814.8%0
Green Party12,27014.5%611.1%814.8%-2
Independent7,0358.3%611.1%47.4%+2
Heritage Party3130.4%00.0%00.0%0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition560.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total84,442100.0%54100.0%54100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Pevensey · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +17.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,728

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Nash, R.Labour Party29216.9%Elected
2McDougall, S.Labour Party27716.0%Elected
3Wells, P.Liberal Democrats24714.3%
4Dillon, P.Conservative and Unionist Party23513.6%
5Barrett, J.Liberal Democrats20712.0%
6Daniells, S.Independent1639.4%
7Cunard, A.Independent1599.2%
8Erskine, J.Green Party764.4%
9Wyatt, P.Green Party724.2%

Electorate 4,077 · Ballots cast 1,728 · Back to ward index

Aldwick West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,153

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Purser, G.Conservative and Unionist Party65720.8%Elected
2Needs, C.Liberal Democrats63620.2%Elected
3Thas, D.Conservative and Unionist Party60119.1%
4Ralph, P.Liberal Democrats58218.5%
5Armstrong, L.Labour Party2748.7%
6Coates, T.Green Party2558.1%
7Kurten, D.Heritage Party1484.7%

Electorate 5,127 · Ballots cast 3,153 · Back to ward index

River · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 12.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,281

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1O'Neill, G.Labour Party67412.8%Elected
2Wiltshire, C.Labour Party66512.6%Elected
3Butcher, A.Labour Party66512.6%Elected
4Molloy, M.Conservative and Unionist Party55910.6%
5Smith, N.Conservative and Unionist Party5059.6%
6Hart, G.Conservative and Unionist Party5049.5%
7Buckland, I.Liberal Democrats4999.4%
8Clark, A.Liberal Democrats4258.0%
9Croft, K.Liberal Democrats3506.6%
10Cheyne, L.Green Party3316.3%
11Gates, G.Heritage Party1042.0%

Electorate 7,126 · Ballots cast 5,281 · Back to ward index

Felpham West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,739

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Madeley, G.Conservative and Unionist Party65123.8%Elected
2Stainton, E.Conservative and Unionist Party59321.7%Elected
3Harvey, M.Independent48617.7%
4Lancaster, L.Green Party38213.9%
5Kissell, R.Liberal Democrats32611.9%
6Mills, R.Labour Party30111.0%

Electorate 4,884 · Ballots cast 2,739 · Back to ward index

Aldwick East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,338

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Patel, A.Conservative and Unionist Party76823.0%Elected
2Bence, T.Conservative and Unionist Party72921.8%Elected
3Huntley, F.Independent64319.3%
4Manion, I.Independent53916.1%
5Bell, A.Green Party3329.9%
6Palmer, R.Labour Party3279.8%

Electorate 4,534 · Ballots cast 3,338 · Back to ward index

Felpham East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,422

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Harty, T.Independent57523.7%Elected
2English, J.Conservative and Unionist Party53021.9%Elected
3English, P.Conservative and Unionist Party52721.8%
4Parker, R.Independent50620.9%
5Varndall, S.Labour Party28411.7%

Electorate 4,741 · Ballots cast 2,422 · Back to ward index

Orchard · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,695

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Oppler, F.Liberal Democrats47728.1%Elected
2Batley, K.Liberal Democrats37522.1%Elected
3Woodall, P.Independent23613.9%
4Cosgrove, J.Labour Party23113.6%
5Kelly, B.Conservative and Unionist Party20712.2%
6Arciszewska, K.Independent16910.0%

Electorate 4,727 · Ballots cast 1,695 · Back to ward index

Courtwick with Toddington · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,331

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Northeast, M.Labour Party76617.7%Elected
2May, M.Labour Party69516.0%Elected
3Tandy, F.Labour Party63714.7%Elected
4Woodward, T.Conservative and Unionist Party58213.4%
5Rhodes, V.Conservative and Unionist Party53012.2%
6Vincent, R.Conservative and Unionist Party52312.1%
7O'Reilly, D.Green Party3568.2%
8Krajnc, S.Liberal Democrats2425.6%

Electorate 7,965 · Ballots cast 4,331 · Back to ward index

Rustington West · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,496

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lloyd, L.Conservative and Unionist Party1,10116.9%Elected
2Partridge, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,03315.9%Elected
3Edwards, L.Conservative and Unionist Party1,01815.7%Elected
4Gregory, P.Liberal Democrats93414.4%
5Bennett, J.Liberal Democrats81112.5%
6Jays, N.Liberal Democrats75711.7%
7Faithfull, F.Green Party4527.0%
8Millam, B.Labour Party3906.0%

Electorate 6,888 · Ballots cast 6,496 · Back to ward index

Angmering & Findon · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,660

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bicknell, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,34920.3%Elected
2Cooper, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,14717.2%Elected
3Worne, A.Liberal Democrats1,10316.6%Elected
4Justice, H.Green Party1,03615.6%
5Edmundston, K.Conservative and Unionist Party1,03515.5%
6Summers, P.Labour Party99014.9%

Electorate 8,441 · Ballots cast 6,660 · Back to ward index

Brookfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,343

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Walsh, J.Liberal Democrats61826.4%Elected
2Long, J.Liberal Democrats58625.0%Elected
3Blackwood, M.Conservative and Unionist Party40917.5%
4Chace, D.Conservative and Unionist Party40417.2%
5Campbell, N.Labour Party26511.3%
6Neal, J.Heritage Party612.6%

Electorate 4,792 · Ballots cast 2,343 · Back to ward index

Arundel & Walberton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,099

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McAuliffe, S.Green Party1,47120.7%Elected
2Birch, C.Green Party1,36319.2%Elected
3Penycate, M.Green Party1,19816.9%Elected
4Markwell, G.Conservative and Unionist Party83311.7%
5Reynolds, S.Conservative and Unionist Party78711.1%
6Trabucco, M.Conservative and Unionist Party73310.3%
7Ward, M.Labour Party71410.1%

Electorate 6,991 · Ballots cast 7,099 · Back to ward index

Barnham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,088

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ayling, P.Green Party1,31621.6%Elected
2Wallsgrove, S.Green Party1,25220.6%Elected
3Lawrence, A.Green Party1,03016.9%Elected
4Haymes, S.Conservative and Unionist Party71211.7%
5Bence, S.Conservative and Unionist Party67711.1%
6Jones, G.Conservative and Unionist Party62010.2%
7Ashton, W.Labour Party4257.0%
8Welch, S.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition560.9%

Electorate 7,599 · Ballots cast 6,088 · Back to ward index

Middleton-on-Sea · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,526

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pendleton, J.Conservative and Unionist Party72928.9%Elected
2Haywood, S.Independent63925.3%Elected
3Darling, D.Conservative and Unionist Party55622.0%
4Warren, L.Green Party33613.3%
5Daws, J.Labour Party26610.5%

Electorate 4,192 · Ballots cast 2,526 · Back to ward index

Hotham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,532

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Warr, J.Liberal Democrats40226.2%Elected
2Goodheart, S.Independent38925.4%Elected
3Waterhouse, B.Liberal Democrats30419.8%
4Britton, D.Conservative and Unionist Party22914.9%
5Meagher, D.Labour Party20813.6%

Electorate 4,290 · Ballots cast 1,532 · Back to ward index

Beach · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,737

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Blanchard-Cooper, B.Liberal Democrats78228.6%Elected
2Woodman, B.Liberal Democrats69725.5%Elected
3Warren, M.Conservative and Unionist Party43315.8%
4Hayler, T.Conservative and Unionist Party39214.3%
5McConnell, S.Labour Party2308.4%
6Murphy, T.Labour Party2037.4%

Electorate 3,856 · Ballots cast 2,737 · Back to ward index

Marine · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,786

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Brooks, J.Independent66937.5%Elected
2Stanley, M.Liberal Democrats46826.2%Elected
3Robbins, H.Labour Party35419.8%
4Sanders, P.Conservative and Unionist Party29516.5%

Electorate 4,815 · Ballots cast 1,786 · Back to ward index

Bersted · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,182

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Greenway, K.Conservative and Unionist Party85220.4%Elected
2Yeates, G.Liberal Democrats84120.1%Elected
3Lury, M.Liberal Democrats82619.8%Elected
4Paige, D.Conservative and Unionist Party61014.6%
5Smith, N.Labour Party54012.9%
6Outen, R.Conservative and Unionist Party51312.3%

Electorate 7,547 · Ballots cast 4,182 · Back to ward index

East Preston · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,482

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bower, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,32920.5%Elected
2Kelly, P.Conservative and Unionist Party1,29420.0%Elected
3Bower, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,28119.8%Elected
4Richards, J.Liberal Democrats76811.8%
5Hammond, L.Green Party74011.4%
6Haslam, A.Labour Party5608.6%
7Tilbrook, D.Liberal Democrats5107.9%

Electorate 7,047 · Ballots cast 6,482 · Back to ward index

Rustington East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,110

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cooper, A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,08634.9%Elected
2Gunner, S.Conservative and Unionist Party97331.3%Elected
3Parvin-Blackstone, A.Liberal Democrats55717.9%
4Lee, S.Labour Party49415.9%

Electorate 4,473 · Ballots cast 3,110 · Back to ward index

Pagham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,622

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Huntley, D.Independent1,03739.5%Elected
2Hamilton, J.Independent82531.5%Elected
3Triggs, H.Conservative and Unionist Party46217.6%
4Nash, P.Labour Party29811.4%

Electorate 5,211 · Ballots cast 2,622 · Back to ward index

Ferring · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,958

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Elkins, R.Conservative and Unionist Party1,01834.4%Elected
2Turner, M.Conservative and Unionist Party94932.1%Elected
3Macedo, D.Labour Party40313.6%
4Roberts, B.Liberal Democrats31610.7%
5Sonnemann, K.Green Party2729.2%

Electorate 4,184 · Ballots cast 2,958 · Back to ward index

Yapton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,134

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Worne, A.Liberal Democrats1,16037.0%Elected
2Jones, H.Liberal Democrats1,03933.2%Elected
3Byron, O.Conservative and Unionist Party39512.6%
4Dendle, P.Conservative and Unionist Party36411.6%
5Richards, D.Labour Party1765.6%

Electorate 5,432 · Ballots cast 3,134 · Back to ward index