← Arun (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Arun 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

13 ward races
13 seats
6 elected below the proportional quota
46.2% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party20,69550.4%1184.6%753.8%+4
Liberal Democrats8,29720.2%215.4%323.1%-1
Labour Party4,66411.4%00.0%17.7%-1
Green Party3,6749.0%00.0%17.7%-1
Independent3,4018.3%00.0%17.7%-1
FBM2630.6%00.0%00.0%0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition370.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total41,031100.0%13100.0%13100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Bognor Regis East · single-seat

Marginal winner 31.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,174

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Oppler F.R.J.Liberal Democrats68931.7%Elected
2Reynolds S.A.Conservative and Unionist Party61228.2%
3Goodheart S.F.Independent32915.1%
4Nash R.A.Labour Party28513.1%
5Wilkinson C.E.Green Party1366.3%
6Woodall P.J.Independent1235.7%

Electorate 10,362 · Ballots cast 2,174 · EC ward code E58001604 · Back to ward index

Littlehampton Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,607

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Britton D.N.Conservative and Unionist Party97137.2%Elected
2Butcher A.T.Labour Party67726.0%
3Tilbrook W.D.R.Liberal Democrats45217.3%
4Buckland I.J.R.Independent30711.8%
5Cheyne L.R.H.Green Party2007.7%

Electorate 10,293 · Ballots cast 2,607 · EC ward code E58001640 · Back to ward index

Bersted · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,758

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Greenway K.G.Conservative and Unionist Party1,04037.7%Elected
2Wells P.C.Independent67624.5%
3Yeates G.A.Liberal Democrats63323.0%
4Smith N.J.M.Labour Party40914.8%

Electorate 10,351 · Ballots cast 2,758 · EC ward code E58001601 · Back to ward index

Nyetimber · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,346

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hall A.D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,48944.5%Elected
2Huntley D.N.Independent1,33740.0%
3Birch C.J.Green Party3099.2%
4Meagher D.J.Labour Party2116.3%

Electorate 9,580 · Ballots cast 3,346 · EC ward code E58001646 · Back to ward index

Littlehampton East · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,379

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Walsh J.M.M.Liberal Democrats1,57546.6%Elected
2Clayden M.J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,28338.0%
3Tandy F.W.Labour Party3189.4%
4Downie J.A.J.Green Party2036.0%

Electorate 10,200 · Ballots cast 3,379 · EC ward code E58001639 · Back to ward index

Fontwell · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,245

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bence T.Conservative and Unionist Party1,61849.9%Elected
2Ayling P.B.Green Party1,15735.7%
3Mote J.E.Labour Party35310.9%
4Dunning J.M.FBM802.5%
5Welch S.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition371.1%

Electorate 10,208 · Ballots cast 3,245 · EC ward code E58001624 · Back to ward index

Felpham · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.4 pts Valid ballots 3,133

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Charles J.W.Conservative and Unionist Party1,64252.4%Elected
2Parker R.J.Independent62920.1%
3Staniforth S.Liberal Democrats32310.3%
4Rowland R.T.Green Party2839.0%
5Armstrong Lilley L.R.Labour Party2568.2%

Electorate 9,802 · Ballots cast 3,133 · EC ward code E58001623 · Back to ward index

Arundel & Courtwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.9 pts Valid ballots 2,572

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Markwell G.Conservative and Unionist Party1,36152.9%Elected
2Rusbridge N.M.Liberal Democrats51720.1%
3Ward M.Labour Party34813.5%
4Smih R.E.A.Green Party34613.5%

Electorate 8,352 · Ballots cast 2,572 · EC ward code E58001600 · Back to ward index

Bognor Regis West & Aldwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.4 pts Valid ballots 3,419

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Patel A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,82553.4%Elected
2Stanley M.B.Liberal Democrats1,11532.6%
3Robbins H.E.Labour Party47914.0%

Electorate 10,397 · Ballots cast 3,419 · EC ward code E58001605 · Back to ward index

Middleton · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.4 pts Valid ballots 3,249

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pendleton J.A.Conservative and Unionist Party1,79955.4%Elected
2Worne A.F.M.Liberal Democrats1,02431.5%
3Pengelly H.Green Party2056.3%
4Millam B.T.Labour Party1775.4%
5Wales P.L.FBM441.4%

Electorate 9,203 · Ballots cast 3,249 · EC ward code E58001642 · Back to ward index

Angmering & Findon · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 2,867

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Urquhart D.L.Conservative and Unionist Party1,59655.7%Elected
2Fowles L.K.M.Liberal Democrats75426.3%
3Baker A.S.Labour Party31010.8%
4Medland C.J.Green Party2077.2%

Electorate 9,118 · Ballots cast 2,867 · EC ward code E58001599 · Back to ward index

Rustington · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.6 pts Valid ballots 4,071

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cooper A.B.Conservative and Unionist Party2,62964.6%Elected
2Bennett J.F.Liberal Democrats79019.4%
3Stapley N.J.Labour Party4049.9%
4Mackenzie F.M.Green Party2486.1%

Electorate 9,975 · Ballots cast 4,071 · EC ward code E58001651 · Back to ward index

East Preston & Ferring · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.2 pts Valid ballots 4,211

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Elkins R.C.Conservative and Unionist Party2,83067.2%Elected
2McConnell S.B.Labour Party43710.4%
3Richards J.M.Liberal Democrats42510.1%
4Hammond E.M.Green Party3809.0%
5Pearson K.P.FBM1393.3%

Electorate 10,496 · Ballots cast 4,211 · EC ward code E58001622 · Back to ward index